AFBI
Affinity Bancshares Inc. Common Stock (MD)Finance · ·
$23.00
▲ $0.00 (+0.0%)
Market Cap
$140.18M
Day Range
$22.97 - $23.00
52-Week Range
$18.35 - $23.00
Beta
—
Next Earnings
22.10.2026
🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector
+22.3% (1Y)
This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer
Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%
🔍 Cross-Check
Overall Score
🟡 Mixed
Technical Trend
🟢 Bullish
Insiders
🔴 Bearish
✅ Why is the score relatively high?
- 🟢 Estimated fair value: $32.47 vs. price $23.00 (+41.2%)
- 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 55.4%
- 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 76.1%
- 🟢 Net income growth: 53.1%
- 🟢 ATR: 0.3% of price
⚠️ What's concerning?
- 🔴 -2.1% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🔴 RSI 86.9 — approaching overbought territory
- 🔴 %K 100.0 — overbought
- 🔴 Volume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
- 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): 6.6% — weak
🚦 Quality & Risk Checks
📈 Technical Analysis
Based on the last 240 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.
🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (8 bullish · 4 bearish · 0 neutral)
Conclusions
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is above the 200-day average
- 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
- 🔴RSI — RSI 86.9 — approaching overbought territory
- 🔴Stochastic — %K 100.0 — overbought
- 🟢ADX (trend strength) — ADX 52.0 — strong trend
- 🔴Volume trend — Volume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
- 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -2.1% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (107%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
- 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 1.6%
- 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
- 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.39
Wyckoff Method Analysis
A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.
A pattern consistent with an early/mid distribution phase — a trading range after an advance with declining volume.
Medium confidence
$22.43
Range Bottom
$23.00
Range Top
50
Trading Days in Range
Evidence Behind This Read
- 🟡Trading range identified — The stock is trading in a 2.5% range (between 22.43 and 23.00) over 50 trading days.
- 🔴The range follows an uptrend — Under the Wyckoff method, a trading range following an advance is a natural candidate for a Distribution phase — smart money selling to the last buyers.
- 🟢Trading volume in the range is declining — Declining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.
- 🟢Bar with selling-climax characteristics — On 2026-07-02: volume 2.9x the average with a spread 2.0x wider — this event may have opened the current range.
The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.
🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)
Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.
1️⃣ Market Structure
🟢 Uptrend
The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.
2️⃣ Value Zone
🟢 Price in value zone
The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.
3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)
Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.
Entry
$23.00
Stop-Loss
$22.37
Risk per Share
$0.63
Direction
Long
Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)
1:2 R
$24.26
1:3 R
$24.88
1:5 R
$26.14
💰 Position Size Calculator
A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.
Suggested Position Size
159 sh.
💰 Financial Health
Profitability
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
—
Net Margin
—
EBITDA Margin
—
Efficiency
ROE
6.6%
ROA
0.9%
ROIC
—
EPS
$1.33
Balance Sheet
Cash
$53.85M
Total Debt
—
Current Ratio
—
Debt/Equity
—
Conclusions
- 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 6.6% — weak
- 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 0.9% — weak
🚀 Growth
Revenue
אין נתונים היסטוריים זמינים.
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Net Income
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Conclusions
- 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 55.4%
- 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 76.1%
- 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 53.1%
💵 Dividends
Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.
Annual Dividend per Share
| Ex-Dividend Date | Amount per Share |
|---|---|
| 13.3.2025 | $1.500 |
💎 Fair Value (Valuation)
Current Price
$23.00
Estimated Fair Value (DCF)
$32.47
Gap
+41.2%
🟢 Appears cheap relative to estimated value
Show all model (DCF) assumptions →
Year 1 Growth Rate
10.0%
Discount Rate (WACC)
9.0%
Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%
Projection Years
5
| Year | Growth Rate | Projected FCF | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.0% | $12.34M | $11.32M |
| 2 | 8.1% | $13.34M | $11.23M |
| 3 | 6.3% | $14.18M | $10.95M |
| 4 | 4.4% | $14.80M | $10.48M |
| 5 | 2.5% | $15.17M | $9.86M |
Base FCF (last actual year)
$11.22M
Terminal Value
$239.16M
Present Value of Terminal Value
$155.44M
Enterprise Value
$209.28M
Net Debt
$0
Equity Value
$209.28M
*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.
Book Value per Share
$19.71
Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)
$16.92
Conclusions
- 🟢DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $32.47 vs. price $23.00 (+41.2%)
- 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $16.92
- 🟡P/E — P/E: 17.8
🕴️ Insider Trading
Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 1 sales out of the last 6 filings.
| Name | Transaction Type | Date | Shares | Change | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Clark | Tax Withholding in Shares | 1.7.2026 | 12,129 | -440 | $22.60 |
| Nelson Clark | Tax Withholding in Shares | 16.11.2025 | 12,569 | -1,400 | $19.36 |
| Vickers Robert | Tax Withholding in Shares | 16.11.2025 | 2,608 | -192 | $19.36 |
| Pajot Brandi C | Tax Withholding in Shares | 16.11.2025 | 21,415 | -274 | $19.36 |
| Vickers Robert | Open Market Sale | 25.8.2025 | 2,800 | -7,565 | $19.47 |
| Pajot Brandi C | Tax Withholding in Shares | 28.7.2025 | 21,689 | -275 | $19.37 |
📉 Short Interest
Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.
Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest
10,574 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 10,681 on 2026-06-30
Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.
Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity
41.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 38.9% the prior week
Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.
📰 News & Sentiment
Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 0 positive, 0 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 0 articles.
No recent articles found for this stock.