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Which signal types have actually been meaningful historically?
Every return here was measured for real, after its horizon actually elapsed — there is no look-ahead calculation using information that didn't exist at detection time. Cells with fewer than 5 cases are deliberately hidden — an average from too small a sample is more misleading than useful. There is no Max Drawdown metric yet (needs daily price data between detection and measurement, not just two endpoint prices — a real future addition).
| Signal Type | 1d | 7d | 30d | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum Spike | -0.5% n=723 · 46% positive | -0.6% n=723 · 46% positive | -3.9% n=81 · 30% positive | — | — | — |
| Technical Breakout | -0.6% n=528 · 46% positive | -0.5% n=523 · 46% positive | -6.2% n=43 · 23% positive | — | — | — |
| Valuation | -0.3% n=182 · 45% positive | -0.4% n=182 · 44% positive | -7.3% n=28 · 32% positive | — | — | — |
| 🧠 FOMO Spike | +0.6% n=131 · 35% positive | -0.0% n=131 · 31% positive | — | — | — | — |
| 🧠 Narrative Divergence | -2.9% n=74 · 27% positive | -3.2% n=72 · 25% positive | — | — | — | — |
| Volume Anomaly | -0.2% n=69 · 45% positive | +0.0% n=69 · 45% positive | — (n=1) | — | — | — |
| 🧠 Euphoria Watch | -3.7% n=65 · 34% positive | -5.1% n=65 · 29% positive | — | — | — | — |
| News Sentiment Shift | -1.0% n=42 · 38% positive | -0.9% n=42 · 38% positive | — (n=2) | — | — | — |
| 🧠 Fear Spike | +81.2% n=40 · 33% positive | +80.3% n=40 · 35% positive | — | — | — | — |
| Smart Money Activity | +0.3% n=31 · 61% positive | +0.2% n=31 · 61% positive | — (n=4) | — | — | — |
Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is a transparent research tool, not investment advice — see also our disclaimer.