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ACM

AECOM

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$74.93

$0.03 (+0.0%)

Market Cap

$9.63B

Day Range

$74.56 - $75.99

52-Week Range

$66.28 - $135.52

Beta

Next Earnings

10.08.2026

ACM is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sectorRetail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

-37.1% (1Y)

Investor Score
63/ 100C+
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈63C+Technical
💰50C-Fundamental
🚀62C+Growth
💎62C+Valuation
📰100A+News
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️56CRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🟡 Mixed

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Estimated fair value: $101.49 vs. price $74.93 (+35.4%)
  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 42.7%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 39.7%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Return on equity (ROE): 22.5% — strong

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -3.2%
  • 🔴 Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴 -15.4% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴 Gross margin: 7.5% — weak
  • 🔴 Operating margin: 6.4% — weak

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟡 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about AECOM. News trend score: 100. Reason: 13 of the last 19 articles are positive, versus 3 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (7 bullish · 4 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 61.7 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 86.1 — overbought
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 22.1 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-15.4% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (86%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 8.7%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: 0.07

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Accumulation

A pattern consistent with an early/mid accumulation phase — a trading range after a decline with declining volume.

Medium confidence

$66.28

Range Bottom

$76.16

Range Top

50

Trading Days in Range

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟡Trading range identifiedThe stock is trading in a 14.9% range (between 66.28 and 76.16) over 50 trading days.
  • 🟢The range follows a downtrendUnder the Wyckoff method, a trading range following a decline is a natural candidate for an Accumulation phase — smart money buying from weak sellers.
  • 🟢Trading volume in the range is decliningDeclining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$74.93

Stop-Loss

$78.31

Risk per Share

$3.38

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$68.18

1:3 R

$64.80

1:5 R

$58.05

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

29 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

7.5%

Operating Margin

6.4%

Net Margin

3.5%

EBITDA Margin

7.5%

Efficiency

ROE

22.5%

ROA

4.6%

ROIC

EPS

$4.24

Balance Sheet

Cash

$1.59B

Total Debt

$66.30M

Current Ratio

1.14

Debt/Equity

0.03

Conclusions

  • 🔴Gross marginGross margin: 7.5% — weak
  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: 6.4% — weak
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: 3.5% — weak
  • 🟢Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 22.5% — strong
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 4.6% — weak
  • 🟡Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 1.14
  • 🟢Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.03

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 0.2%
  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: 42.7%
  • 🔴Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: -3.2%
  • 🟢Net income growthNet income growth: 39.7%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
1.7.2026$0.310
1.4.2026$0.310
7.1.2026$0.310
1.10.2025$0.260
2.7.2025$0.260
2.4.2025$0.260
2.1.2025$0.260
2.10.2024$0.220
3.7.2024$0.220
23.4.2024$0.220
3.1.2024$0.220
4.10.2023$0.180

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$74.93

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$101.49

Gap

+35.4%

🟢 Appears cheap relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

7.2%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
17.2%$734.20M$673.57M
26.0%$778.40M$655.16M
34.8%$816.12M$630.20M
43.7%$846.10M$599.40M
52.5%$867.25M$563.66M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$684.93M

Terminal Value

$13.68B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$8.89B

Enterprise Value

$12.01B

Net Debt

$-1.52B

Equity Value

$13.53B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$18.70

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

-$10.44

Conclusions

  • 🟢DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $101.49 vs. price $74.93 (+35.4%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: -$10.44
  • 🟡P/EP/E: 17.8

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 3 purchases and 3 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Poloni LaraOpen Market Purchase16.6.2026153,446+4,224$70.63
Rudd TroyOpen Market Purchase14.5.2026142,207+4,225$71.02
Kapoor GauravOpen Market Purchase14.5.202688,053+1,420$71.12
KERR DEREK JGrant/Award from Employer3.3.20263,677+2,002
Stotlar DouglasGrant/Award from Employer3.3.202638,804+2,236
Buss Brad WGrant/Award from Employer3.3.202628,513+2,002
van 't Noordende Alexander MGrant/Award from Employer3.3.202612,423+2,002
Tishman Daniel R.Grant/Award from Employer3.3.202623,677+2,002
Wolfenbarger Janet CarolGrant/Award from Employer3.3.202638,822+2,002
Pipes KristyGrant/Award from Employer3.3.20268,623+2,002
Rudd TroyGift23.12.2025259,756-600
Poloni LaraOpen Market Sale17.12.2025149,415-17,340$97.01
Poloni LaraOpen Market Sale17.12.2025149,222-193$98.35
Gan David Y.Open Market Sale17.12.202541,549-9,502$97.01
Rudd TroyExercise of Derivative Securities15.12.202536,812+36,812
Rudd TroyGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202585,812+49,000
Rudd TroyGrant/Award from Employer15.12.2025172,393+86,581
Rudd TroyTax Withholding in Shares15.12.2025123,837-48,556$97.96
Rudd TroyExercise of Derivative Securities15.12.20250-36,812
Kapoor GauravExercise of Derivative Securities15.12.202565,974+9,562
Kapoor GauravGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202581,083+15,109
Kapoor GauravGrant/Award from Employer15.12.2025103,573+22,490
Kapoor GauravTax Withholding in Shares15.12.202586,633-16,940$97.96
Kapoor GauravExercise of Derivative Securities15.12.20250-9,562
Poloni LaraExercise of Derivative Securities15.12.2025140,231+10,040

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-3.5%

8,645,307 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 8,954,741 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-13.5%

52.4% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 60.6% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 13 positive, 3 neutral, 3 negative out of the last 19 articles.