🎉 Free to use until Sep 16, 2026 — try it out for our launch!
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.15 4.17%
TA-125₪4,032.47 0.23%
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.15 4.17%
TA-125₪4,032.47 0.23%

STAG

Stag Industrial, Inc.

Real Estate · ·

$36.80

$0.47 (-1.3%)

Market Cap

$7.04B

Day Range

$36.66 - $37.66

52-Week Range

$34.18 - $42.61

Beta

Next Earnings

27.10.2026

STAG is a stock from the Real Estate sectorREITs and real-estate companies — highly sensitive to interest rates and property prices.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+5.5% (1Y)

Investor Score
44/ 100D
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈13FTechnical
💰51C-Fundamental
🚀57CGrowth
💎38FValuation
📰92A+News
🏦50C-Quality
⚠️50C-Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Net income growth: 44.6%
  • 🟢 Net margin: 32.4% — strong
  • 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 10.1%

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $7.79 vs. price $36.80 (-78.8%)
  • 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -16.5%
  • 🔴 Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴 Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴 MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟡 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟡 Leverage risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Stag Industrial, Inc.. News trend score: 92. Reason: 8 of the last 13 articles are positive, versus 1 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (0 bullish · 10 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACDMACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 32.5 — weak/negative bias
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 2.5 — oversold
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 24.5 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-9.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴Bollinger BandsPrice is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (3%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -11.9%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.17

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trendA -3.9% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$36.80

Stop-Loss

$43.46

Risk per Share

$6.66

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$23.47

1:3 R

$16.81

1:5 R

$3.48

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

15 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

Net Margin

32.4%

EBITDA Margin

Efficiency

ROE

7.6%

ROA

3.8%

ROIC

EPS

Balance Sheet

Cash

$14.91M

Total Debt

$3.25B

Current Ratio

Debt/Equity

0.91

Conclusions

  • 🟢Net marginNet margin: 32.4% — strong
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 7.6% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 3.8% — weak
  • 🟡Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.91

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

אין נתונים היסטוריים זמינים.

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 10.1%
  • 🔴Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: -16.5%
  • 🟢Net income growthNet income growth: 44.6%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
30.6.2026$0.388
31.3.2026$0.388
31.12.2025$0.124
28.11.2025$0.124
31.10.2025$0.124
30.9.2025$0.124
29.8.2025$0.124
31.7.2025$0.124
30.6.2025$0.124
30.5.2025$0.124
30.4.2025$0.124
31.3.2025$0.124

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$36.80

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$7.79

Gap

-78.8%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

8.7%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
18.7%$281.51M$258.26M
27.2%$301.73M$253.96M
35.6%$318.69M$246.09M
44.1%$331.63M$234.94M
52.5%$339.92M$220.93M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$258.87M

Terminal Value

$5.36B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$3.48B

Enterprise Value

$4.70B

Net Debt

$3.24B

Equity Value

$1.46B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$19.21

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$17.10

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $7.79 vs. price $36.80 (-78.8%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $17.10

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
MARR CHRISTOPHER PGrant/Award from Employer15.7.20268,717+417$38.89
COLBERT VIRGISGrant/Award from Employer15.7.20265,067+417$38.89
WEGER HANS SGrant/Award from Employer15.7.202612,033+417$38.89
Furber Jeffrey D.Grant/Award from Employer15.7.202655,544+546$38.89
Butcher Benjamin SGrant/Award from Employer15.7.20269,305+417$38.89
Jacoby Francis X IIIGrant/Award from Employer15.7.202634,225+417$38.89
Guillemette Larry TGrant/Award from Employer15.7.202642,424+899$38.89
Dilley MichelleGrant/Award from Employer15.7.202614,553+530$38.89
Chin Jit KeeGrant/Award from Employer15.7.202611,633+578$38.89
Wilbon Vicki LundyGrant/Award from Employer15.7.20263,581+417$38.89
MARR CHRISTOPHER PGrant/Award from Employer15.4.20268,300+440$36.86
COLBERT VIRGISGrant/Award from Employer15.4.20264,650+440$36.86
COLBERT VIRGISGrant/Award from Employer15.4.20264,650+440$36.86
WEGER HANS SGrant/Award from Employer15.4.202611,616+440$36.86
Furber Jeffrey D.Grant/Award from Employer15.4.202654,998+576$36.86
Butcher Benjamin SGrant/Award from Employer15.4.20268,888+440$36.86
Jacoby Francis X IIIGrant/Award from Employer15.4.202633,808+440$36.86
Guillemette Larry TGrant/Award from Employer15.4.202641,525+949$36.86
Dilley MichelleGrant/Award from Employer15.4.202614,023+559$36.86
Chin Jit KeeGrant/Award from Employer15.4.202611,055+610$36.86
Wilbon Vicki LundyGrant/Award from Employer15.4.20263,164+440$36.86
Butcher Benjamin SConversion of Derivative Security4.3.202638,448+30,000
Butcher Benjamin SDisposition to the Company4.3.20268,448-30,000$39.25
Butcher Benjamin SConversion of Derivative Security4.3.2026560,623-30,000
Butcher Benjamin SConversion of Derivative Security4.3.202639,320+30,000

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

+6.1%

7,714,459 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 7,270,474 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+59.7%

38.1% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 23.8% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 8 positive, 4 neutral, 1 negative out of the last 13 articles.