🎉 Free to use until Sep 16, 2026 — try it out for our launch!
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.25 0.66%
TA-125₪4,049.04 0.41%
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.25 0.66%
TA-125₪4,049.04 0.41%

SGI

Somnigroup International Inc. Common Stock

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$64.87

$4.71 (-6.8%)

Market Cap

$13.64B

Day Range

$63.65 - $67.04

52-Week Range

$60.39 - $98.56

Beta

Next Earnings

04.11.2026

SGI is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sectorRetail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

-10.5% (1Y)

Investor Score
42/ 100D
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈16FTechnical
💰55CFundamental
🚀51C-Growth
💎33FValuation
📰86ANews
🏦42DQuality
⚠️34FRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 51.6%
  • 🟢 Gross margin: 42.6% — strong
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 11.2%

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $44.59 vs. price $64.87 (-31.3%)
  • 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
  • 🔴 ATR: 4.7% of price
  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.83
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -14.8%

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🟡 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟡 Leverage risk🔴 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Somnigroup International Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 86. Reason: 10 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 4 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 252 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (0 bullish · 9 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACDMACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 39.4 — weak/negative bias
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 20.3 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 12.8 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-20.9% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴Bollinger BandsPrice is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (8%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -5.7%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.16

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Undefined

The stock is in a trading range, but the picture isn't yet clear enough on the likely direction.

Low confidence

$63.65

Range Bottom

$79.77

Range Top

50

Trading Days in Range

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟡Trading range identifiedThe stock is trading in a 25.3% range (between 63.65 and 79.77) over 50 trading days.
  • 🟢Trading volume in the range is decliningDeclining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$65.91

Stop-Loss

$82.87

Risk per Share

$16.96

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$31.99

1:3 R

$15.03

1:5 R

-$18.89

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

5 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

42.6%

Operating Margin

10.1%

Net Margin

5.1%

EBITDA Margin

14.0%

Efficiency

ROE

12.4%

ROA

3.3%

ROIC

EPS

$1.86

Balance Sheet

Cash

$134.90M

Total Debt

$4.61B

Current Ratio

0.83

Debt/Equity

1.48

Conclusions

  • 🟢Gross marginGross margin: 42.6% — strong
  • 🟡Operating marginOperating margin: 10.1% — reasonable
  • 🟡Net marginNet margin: 5.1% — reasonable
  • 🟡Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 12.4% — reasonable
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 3.3% — weak
  • 🔴Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 0.83
  • 🟡Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 1.48

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 51.6%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -14.8%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 11.2%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -0.1%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
21.5.2026$0.170
5.3.2026$0.170
20.11.2025$0.150
21.8.2025$0.150
22.5.2025$0.150
6.3.2025$0.150
21.11.2024$0.130
15.8.2024$0.130
15.5.2024$0.130
21.2.2024$0.130
15.11.2023$0.110
16.8.2023$0.110

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$64.87

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$44.59

Gap

-31.3%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

17.3%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
117.3%$742.58M$681.27M
213.6%$843.43M$709.90M
39.9%$926.82M$715.67M
46.2%$984.22M$697.25M
52.5%$1.01B$655.67M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$633.20M

Terminal Value

$15.91B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$10.34B

Enterprise Value

$13.80B

Net Debt

$4.47B

Equity Value

$9.33B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$14.86

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

-$19.48

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $44.59 vs. price $64.87 (-31.3%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: -$19.48
  • 🔴P/EP/E: 35.8

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 2 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Rusing Steven HExercise of Derivative Securities22.5.2026306,317+10,448$15.61
Rusing Steven HOpen Market Sale22.5.2026300,960-5,357$66.79
Rusing Steven HOpen Market Sale22.5.2026299,660-1,300$67.49
Rusing Steven HExercise of Derivative Securities22.5.20260-10,448
Dyer SimonExercise of Derivative Securities14.5.202611,582+2,337
Dyer SimonTax Withholding in Shares14.5.202610,880-702$64.49
Dyer SimonExercise of Derivative Securities14.5.20260-2,337
Sachse Peter RGrant/Award from Employer13.5.202665,947+2,657
Cook Christopher ThomasGrant/Award from Employer13.5.2026124,110+2,657
NEU RICHARD WGrant/Award from Employer13.5.2026173,812+2,657
Dilsaver Evelyn SGrant/Award from Employer13.5.2026156,574+2,657
Madden Meredith SiegfriedGrant/Award from Employer13.5.202617,780+2,657
Gates Cathy R.Grant/Award from Employer13.5.202641,232+2,657
Dyer SimonGrant/Award from Employer13.5.20262,657+2,657
THOMPSON SCOTT LGrant/Award from Employer26.2.202672,120+72,120
MONTGOMERY DAVIDGrant/Award from Employer26.2.20269,015+9,015
Rao BhaskarGrant/Award from Employer26.2.202613,975+13,975
Rusing Steven HGrant/Award from Employer26.2.202613,975+13,975
BUSTER H CLIFFORD IIIGrant/Award from Employer26.2.202622,536+22,536
THOMPSON SCOTT LExercise of Derivative Securities2.1.20264,060,851+71,762
THOMPSON SCOTT LTax Withholding in Shares2.1.20264,032,612-28,239$88.74
THOMPSON SCOTT LExercise of Derivative Securities2.1.20264,133,360+100,748
THOMPSON SCOTT LTax Withholding in Shares2.1.20264,093,634-39,726$88.74
THOMPSON SCOTT LExercise of Derivative Securities2.1.20260-100,748
THOMPSON SCOTT LGrant/Award from Employer2.1.202656,345+56,345

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-7.7%

14,913,985 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 16,159,655 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-14.5%

43.8% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 51.2% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 10 positive, 6 neutral, 4 negative out of the last 20 articles.