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NOV

NOV Inc. Common Stock

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$19.90

$0.40 (+2.1%)

Market Cap

$7.14B

Day Range

$19.67 - $20.22

52-Week Range

$11.78 - $21.55

Beta

Next Earnings

26.10.2026

NOV is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sectorRetail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+67.2% (1Y)

Investor Score
58/ 100C
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈61C+Technical
💰54C-Fundamental
🚀26FGrowth
💎57CValuation
📰100A+News
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️62C+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟡 Mixed

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Estimated fair value: $40.20 vs. price $19.90 (+102.0%)
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.27
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 2.42
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Revenue growth (last year): -1.4%
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -75.6%
  • 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -8.1%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -77.2%
  • 🔴 -6.1% over the last 3 months relative to the index

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about NOV Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 100. Reason: 12 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 3 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟡 Indicators are mixed — no clear bias (5 bullish · 4 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 53.5 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 42.5 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 13.0 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-6.1% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -1.4%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.13

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Low confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trendA -1.6% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
  • 🔴Divergence between price and cumulative money flow (A/D Line)Price and the cumulative Accumulation/Distribution Line are moving in opposite directions — a classic Wyckoff sign that the move isn't backed by real money, and may be less stable than it looks.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$19.90

Stop-Loss

$17.02

Risk per Share

$2.88

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$25.66

1:3 R

$28.54

1:5 R

$34.31

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

34 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

20.2%

Operating Margin

5.6%

Net Margin

1.7%

EBITDA Margin

9.7%

Efficiency

ROE

2.3%

ROA

1.3%

ROIC

EPS

$0.39

Balance Sheet

Cash

$1.55B

Total Debt

$1.72B

Current Ratio

2.42

Debt/Equity

0.27

Conclusions

  • 🟡Gross marginGross margin: 20.2% — reasonable
  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: 5.6% — weak
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: 1.7% — weak
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 2.3% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 1.3% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 2.42
  • 🟢Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.27
  • 🟢Interest coverageInterest coverage: 5.6x

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): -1.4%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -75.6%
  • 🔴Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: -8.1%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -77.2%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
12.6.2026$0.090
1.6.2026$0.090
13.3.2026$0.090
5.12.2025$0.075
12.9.2025$0.075
13.6.2025$0.075
2.6.2025$0.210
14.3.2025$0.075
6.12.2024$0.075
13.9.2024$0.075
14.6.2024$0.075
13.3.2024$0.050

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$19.90

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$40.20

Gap

+102.0%

🟢 Appears cheap relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

6.8%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
16.8%$935.92M$858.65M
25.8%$989.79M$833.09M
34.7%$1.04B$800.00M
43.6%$1.07B$760.26M
52.5%$1.10B$714.92M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$876.00M

Terminal Value

$17.35B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$11.27B

Enterprise Value

$15.24B

Net Debt

$166.00M

Equity Value

$15.07B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$16.71

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$11.28

Conclusions

  • 🟢DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $40.20 vs. price $19.90 (+102.0%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $11.28
  • 🔴P/EP/E: 51.0

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 6 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
HARRISON DAVID DOpen Market Sale31.7.2026126,763-9,594$19.21
MELCHER PATRICIA BGrant/Award from Employer20.5.202634,956+9,457
Kendall Christian SGrant/Award from Employer20.5.202695,406+9,457
HARRISON DAVID DGrant/Award from Employer20.5.2026136,357+9,457
Thomas William R.Grant/Award from Employer20.5.2026101,166+9,457
Welborn Robert S.Grant/Award from Employer20.5.202655,429+9,457
Martinez PatriciaGrant/Award from Employer20.5.202634,956+9,457
Chowbey SanjayGrant/Award from Employer20.5.20269,457+9,457
Donadio Marcela EGrant/Award from Employer20.5.2026106,882+9,457
Reed Rodney C.Tax Withholding in Shares20.3.2026165,797-4,995$18.68
Novak Christy LynnTax Withholding in Shares20.3.2026102,561-869$18.68
Bayardo Jose ATax Withholding in Shares20.3.2026745,678-4,995$18.68
Rovig Joseph WExercise of Derivative Securities23.2.2026348,780+79,086$15.00
Rovig Joseph WExercise of Derivative Securities23.2.2026420,780+72,000$16.73
Rovig Joseph WOpen Market Sale23.2.2026269,694-151,086$20.17
Rovig Joseph WExercise of Derivative Securities23.2.20260-72,000
Weinstock Craig L.Exercise of Derivative Securities23.2.2026296,319+20,000$15.00
Weinstock Craig L.Exercise of Derivative Securities23.2.2026326,319+30,000$15.00
Weinstock Craig L.Open Market Sale23.2.2026306,319-20,000$20.32
Weinstock Craig L.Open Market Sale23.2.2026276,319-30,000$20.00
Weinstock Craig L.Open Market Sale23.2.2026265,824-10,495$19.94
Weinstock Craig L.Open Market Sale23.2.2026256,319-9,505$19.95
Weinstock Craig L.Exercise of Derivative Securities23.2.202651,178-20,000
Weinstock Craig L.Exercise of Derivative Securities23.2.202621,178-30,000
Livingston Scott B.Tax Withholding in Shares23.2.2026118,213-1,259$20.28

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-17.8%

25,936,690 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 31,557,809 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+4.1%

71.0% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 68.2% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 12 positive, 5 neutral, 3 negative out of the last 20 articles.