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MGRC

McGrath RentCorp

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$121.75

$0.74 (+0.6%)

Market Cap

$2.97B

Day Range

$119.61 - $122.35

52-Week Range

$94.99 - $127.68

Beta

Next Earnings

MGRC is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sectorRetail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+1.3% (1Y)

Investor Score
66/ 100B-
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈90A+Technical
💰73BFundamental
🚀34FGrowth
💎62C+Valuation
📰62C+News
🏦58CQuality
⚠️50C-Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Estimated fair value: $176.98 vs. price $121.75 (+45.4%)
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -32.7%
  • 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -36.8%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -32.5%

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟡 Mixed

Everyone's writing about McGrath RentCorp. News trend score: 62. Reason: 5 of the last 16 articles are positive, versus 3 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 252 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (10 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 55.9 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 78.1 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 9.7 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🟢Volume trendRising volume supports the price advance
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500+1.4% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (74%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 2.9%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: 0.06

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trendA 7.5% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$120.04

Stop-Loss

$101.72

Risk per Share

$18.32

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$156.69

1:3 R

$175.01

1:5 R

$211.65

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

5 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

48.2%

Operating Margin

25.8%

Net Margin

16.6%

EBITDA Margin

37.1%

Efficiency

ROE

12.6%

ROA

6.6%

ROIC

EPS

$6.35

Balance Sheet

Cash

$295.00K

Total Debt

Current Ratio

Debt/Equity

Conclusions

  • 🟢Gross marginGross margin: 48.2% — strong
  • 🟢Operating marginOperating margin: 25.8% — strong
  • 🟢Net marginNet margin: 16.6% — strong
  • 🟡Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 12.6% — reasonable
  • 🟡Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 6.6% — reasonable
  • 🟢Interest coverageInterest coverage: 8.0x

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 3.7%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -32.7%
  • 🔴Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: -36.8%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -32.5%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
17.7.2026$0.495
16.4.2026$0.495
16.1.2026$0.485
17.10.2025$0.485
17.7.2025$0.485
16.4.2025$0.485
17.1.2025$0.475
17.10.2024$0.475
17.7.2024$0.475
15.4.2024$0.475
16.1.2024$0.465
16.10.2023$0.465

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$121.75

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$176.98

Gap

+45.4%

🟢 Appears cheap relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

14.7%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
114.7%$242.31M$222.30M
211.6%$270.50M$227.67M
38.6%$293.73M$226.81M
45.5%$310.01M$219.62M
52.5%$317.76M$206.52M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$211.30M

Terminal Value

$5.01B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$3.26B

Enterprise Value

$4.36B

Net Debt

$0

Equity Value

$4.36B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$50.22

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$34.82

Conclusions

  • 🟢DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $176.98 vs. price $121.75 (+45.4%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $34.82
  • 🟡P/EP/E: 18.9

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 11 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
HANNA JOSEPH FOpen Market Sale1.7.2026158,589-460$119.21
HANNA JOSEPH FOpen Market Sale1.7.2026153,786-4,803$120.51
HANNA JOSEPH FOpen Market Sale1.7.2026151,549-2,237$121.23
Malek GildaOpen Market Sale15.6.20268,018-1,407$114.04
Whitney David MOpen Market Sale10.6.20266,533-3,783$113.65
VAN TREASE KRISTINAOpen Market Sale10.6.20266,533-3,783$113.65
Whitney David MOpen Market Sale15.5.202610,316-539$115.00
VAN TREASE KRISTINAOpen Market Sale15.5.202610,316-539$115.00
HANNA JOSEPH FOpen Market Sale5.5.2026159,049-530$112.00
HANNA JOSEPH FOther Transaction5.5.20260-400$113.06
HANNA JOSEPH FOpen Market Sale4.5.2026159,979-9,070$112.46
HANNA JOSEPH FOpen Market Sale4.5.2026159,579-400$113.19
Whitney David MGrant/Award from Employer31.3.20267,236+2,265
VAN TREASE KRISTINAGrant/Award from Employer31.3.20267,236+2,265
Malek GildaExercise of Derivative Securities31.3.202610,125+1,431
Malek GildaTax Withholding in Shares31.3.20269,425-700$110.28
Malek GildaExercise of Derivative Securities31.3.20260-1,431
Whitney David MOther Transaction12.3.20267,334+5,966$104.00
VAN TREASE KRISTINAOther Transaction12.3.20267,334+5,966$104.00
SHUSTER BRADLEY MGrant/Award from Employer27.2.202615,000+1,300
HANNA JOSEPH FGrant/Award from Employer27.2.2026169,049+1,300
DAWSON WILLIAM JGrant/Award from Employer27.2.20267,300+1,300
PRATT KEITH EGrant/Award from Employer27.2.202660,522+6,080
Whitney David MGrant/Award from Employer27.2.20264,971+1,170
Whitney David MGrant/Award from Employer27.2.202610,855+2,700

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-10.5%

453,372 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 506,504 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-10.7%

47.6% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 53.4% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 5 positive, 8 neutral, 3 negative out of the last 16 articles.