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AAL

American Airlines Group Inc. Common Stock

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$16.03

$0.55 (-3.3%)

Market Cap

$10.61B

Day Range

$15.93 - $16.57

52-Week Range

$10.09 - $18.79

Beta

Next Earnings

21.10.2026

AAL is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sectorRetail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+41.2% (1Y)

Investor Score
59/ 100C
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈85ATechnical
💰36FFundamental
🚀40DGrowth
💎45D+Valuation
📰92A+News
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️40DRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 SMA 50 recently crossed above SMA 200
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: -7.59
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 ATR: 4.3% of price
  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.50
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -3.0% (negative)
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -86.3%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -86.9%

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🔴 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about American Airlines Group Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 92. Reason: 10 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 3 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (9 bullish · 3 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢Golden CrossSMA 50 recently crossed above SMA 200
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 58.3 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 86.1 — overbought
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 21.1 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500+29.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (81%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 9.5%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.14

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trendA 11.6% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$16.58

Stop-Loss

$12.46

Risk per Share

$4.12

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$24.81

1:3 R

$28.93

1:5 R

$37.16

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

24 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

2.7%

Net Margin

0.2%

EBITDA Margin

6.7%

Efficiency

ROE

-3.0%

ROA

0.2%

ROIC

EPS

$0.17

Balance Sheet

Cash

$1.06B

Total Debt

$28.28B

Current Ratio

0.50

Debt/Equity

-7.59

Conclusions

  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: 2.7% — weak
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: 0.2% — weak
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): -3.0% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 0.2% — weak
  • 🔴Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 0.50
  • 🟢Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: -7.59

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

אין נתונים היסטוריים זמינים.

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 0.8%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -86.3%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -86.9%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Not enough cash-flow data to calculate a DCF model for this stock.

Book Value per Share

-$5.64

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

-$14.95

Conclusions

  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: -$14.95
  • 🔴P/EP/E: 94.3

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 5 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Owens AngelaOpen Market Sale31.7.2026178,799-40,077$15.26
Johnson Stephen LOpen Market Sale31.7.20261,938,357-30,000$15.29
Johnson Stephen LOpen Market Sale30.7.20261,968,357-30,000$15.26
DIETRICH JOHN WGrant/Award from Employer15.7.20268,676+8,676
Seymour DavidTax Withholding in Shares12.7.2026964,232-4,801$16.95
Seymour DavidOpen Market Sale25.6.2026969,033-56,456$18.00
Seymour DavidOpen Market Sale24.6.20261,025,489-69,343$17.00
HART MATTHEW JGrant/Award from Employer10.6.2026114,071+11,177
KRONICK SUSAN DGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202690,230+11,177
KRONICK SUSAN DGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202690,230+11,177
CAHILL JOHN TGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202624,739+11,177
STEENLAND DOUGLAS MGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202667,383+11,177
Brown Adriane MGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202666,058+11,177
Dillon Mary NGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202614,208+11,177
Nesbitt Martin H.Grant/Award from Employer10.6.202690,230+11,177
Smith Gregory DGrant/Award from Employer10.6.2026124,798+26,080
Ungerleider Howard IGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202636,578+11,177
Reynal VicenteGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202656,655+11,177
Farmer Kathryn MGrant/Award from Employer10.6.202624,739+11,177
Seymour DavidTax Withholding in Shares2.5.20261,094,832-40,865$11.84
Owens AngelaTax Withholding in Shares2.5.2026258,044-8,097$11.84
May Devon ETax Withholding in Shares2.5.2026985,023-33,721$11.84
Richmond Anthony J.Tax Withholding in Shares1.5.20261,003,542-70,598$11.84
Dillon Mary NGrant/Award from Employer24.3.20263,031+3,031
Isom Robert D JrTax Withholding in Shares27.2.20263,794,279-48,429$13.07

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

+9.9%

63,578,122 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 57,852,431 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+0.0%

48.2% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 48.2% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 10 positive, 7 neutral, 3 negative out of the last 20 articles.