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LIFE

Ethos Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock

Finance · ·

$29.81

▲ $2.09 (+7.5%)

Market Cap

—

Day Range

$25.75 - $31.76

52-Week Range

$9.45 - $32.50

Beta

—

Next Earnings

09.11.2026

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

AAME

Atlantic American Corporation

ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGLN

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares each Representing a 1/1000th Interest in a 4.550% Non-Cumulative Preferred Share Series G

+64.5% (1Y)

Investor Score
67/ 100B-
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈80A-Technical
💰64C+Fundamental
🚀82A-Growth
💎38FValuation
📰92A+News
🏦42DQuality
⚠️48D+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 52.0%
  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 43.5%
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 397.3%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 45.7%
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 2.17

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $15.17 vs. price $29.81 (-49.1%)
  • 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
  • 🔴 ATR: 7.3% of price
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -295.0% (negative)
  • 🔴 RSI 79.3 — approaching overbought territory

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Ethos Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock. News trend score: 92. Reason: 8 of the last 15 articles are positive, versus 1 negative.

🟡 Ethos Technologies Inc. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation — SeekingAlpha🟢 Citigroup Maintains Buy on Ethos Technologies, Raises Price Target to $33 — Benzinga🟢 Citizens Maintains Market Outperform on Ethos Technologies, Raises Price Target to $33 — Benzinga

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 130 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (9 bullish · 2 bearish · 0 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🔴RSI — RSI 79.3 — approaching overbought territory
  • 🔴Stochastic — %K 85.9 — overbought
  • 🟢ADX (trend strength) — ADX 30.9 — strong trend
  • 🟢Volume trend — Rising volume supports the price advance
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — +27.0% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (120%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 49.8%
  • 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.34

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

High confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trend — A 43.6% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

Not enough history to determine market structure (200-day average required).

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

Not enough data (ATR / support / resistance) to calculate a suggested exit point.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

98.3%

Operating Margin

18.8%

Net Margin

18.4%

EBITDA Margin

20.2%

Efficiency

ROE

-295.0%

ROA

13.8%

ROIC

—

EPS

$4.31

Balance Sheet

Cash

$91.09M

Total Debt

—

Current Ratio

2.17

Debt/Equity

—

Conclusions

  • 🟢Gross margin — Gross margin: 98.3% — strong
  • 🟡Operating margin — Operating margin: 18.8% — reasonable
  • 🟢Net margin — Net margin: 18.4% — strong
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): -295.0% (negative)
  • 🟢Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 13.8% — strong
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 2.17

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 52.0%
  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 43.5%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 397.3%
  • 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 45.7%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$29.81

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$15.17

Gap

-49.1%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

25.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
125.0%$43.42M$39.83M
219.4%$51.83M$43.62M
313.8%$58.96M$45.53M
48.1%$63.75M$45.16M
52.5%$65.34M$42.47M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$34.73M

Terminal Value

$1.03B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$669.67M

Enterprise Value

$886.27M

Net Debt

$0

Equity Value

$886.27M

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

-$0.41

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

-$0.46

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $15.17 vs. price $29.81 (-49.1%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: -$0.46
  • 🟡P/E — P/E: 22.7

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 16 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Other Transaction22.7.20262,845,208-49,582—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale22.7.20260-49,582$19.23
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Other Transaction21.7.20262,894,790-22,900—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale21.7.2026200-22,700$19.05
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale21.7.20260-200$19.72
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Other Transaction20.7.20262,917,690-18,386—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale20.7.20260-18,386$18.87
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Other Transaction17.7.20262,936,076-20,534—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale17.7.20260-20,534$18.68
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Other Transaction16.7.20262,956,610-19,595—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale16.7.20260-19,595$18.73
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Other Transaction15.7.20262,976,205-74,492—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale15.7.202661,992-12,500$18.79
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale15.7.20260-61,992$19.84
Wang LingkeGrant/Award from Employer8.7.20261,595,302+900,000—
Colis Peter GeorgeGrant/Award from Employer8.7.20261,595,302+900,000—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Other Transaction15.5.20263,050,697-87,475—
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale15.5.202642,065-45,410$23.27
GV 2019 GP, L.L.C.Open Market Sale15.5.20260-42,065$24.27
Kucharski Brandt WalterOpen Market Sale15.5.2026183,929-5,324$22.00
Kucharski Brandt WalterOpen Market Sale15.5.2026183,430-499$22.66
Capozzi Christopher M.Open Market Sale15.5.2026682,859-62,955$21.97
Capozzi Christopher M.Open Market Sale15.5.2026665,228-17,631$22.72
Wang LingkeOpen Market Sale15.5.2026771,690-39,495$21.99
Wang LingkeOpen Market Sale15.5.2026764,836-6,854$22.77

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↑+20.5%

1,888,082 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 1,567,407 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↓-24.1%

36.4% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 48.0% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 8 positive, 6 neutral, 1 negative out of the last 15 articles.