HZO
MarineMax Inc. (FL) Common StockConsumer Discretionary · ·
$35.13
▼ $0.89 (-2.5%)
Market Cap
$775.91M
Day Range
$32.09 - $35.96
52-Week Range
$21.42 - $38.14
Beta
—
Next Earnings
11.11.2026
HZO is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sector — Retail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.
🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector
+53.6% (1Y)
This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer
Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%
🔍 Cross-Check
Overall Score
🟡 Mixed
Technical Trend
🟢 Bullish
✅ Why is the score relatively high?
- 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 113.9%
- 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.42
- 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
- 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
- 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
⚠️ What's concerning?
- 🔴 Estimated fair value: -$1.97 vs. price $35.13 (-105.6%)
- 🔴 Net margin: -1.4% (negative)
- 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
- 🔴 ATR: 4.2% of price
- 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -3.4% (negative)
🚦 Quality & Risk Checks
📰 News Trend
Based on real financial news (Finnhub)Everyone's writing about MarineMax Inc. (FL) Common Stock. News trend score: 44. Reason: 2 of the last 7 articles are negative, versus 1 positive.
News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer
📈 Technical Analysis
Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.
🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (8 bullish · 2 bearish · 2 neutral)
Conclusions
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is above the 200-day average
- 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
- 🟢RSI — RSI 56.1 — healthy positive momentum
- 🔴Stochastic — %K 82.6 — overbought
- 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 10.8 — weak trend/choppy
- 🔴Volume trend — Volume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
- 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — +16.4% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (84%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
- 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 6.0%
- 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
- 🟡CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.03
Wyckoff Method Analysis
A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.
A trading range after an advance, but still without clear (volume-based) confirmation of a distribution phase.
Low confidence
$30.62
Range Bottom
$38.14
Range Top
50
Trading Days in Range
Evidence Behind This Read
- 🟡Trading range identified — The stock is trading in a 24.6% range (between 30.62 and 38.14) over 50 trading days.
- 🔴The range follows an uptrend — Under the Wyckoff method, a trading range following an advance is a natural candidate for a Distribution phase — smart money selling to the last buyers.
- 🟡Trading volume in the range is relatively stable — There's no clear sign yet of supply/demand being exhausted within the range.
The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.
🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)
Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.
1️⃣ Market Structure
🟢 Uptrend
The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.
2️⃣ Value Zone
🟡 Price far from value zone
The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.
3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)
Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.
Entry
$36.02
Stop-Loss
$29.10
Risk per Share
$6.92
Direction
Long
Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)
1:2 R
$49.87
1:3 R
$56.79
1:5 R
$70.63
💰 Position Size Calculator
A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.
Suggested Position Size
14 sh.
💰 Financial Health
Profitability
Gross Margin
32.5%
Operating Margin
1.5%
Net Margin
-1.4%
EBITDA Margin
3.6%
Efficiency
ROE
-3.4%
ROA
-1.3%
ROIC
—
EPS
-$1.43
Balance Sheet
Cash
$170.35M
Total Debt
$391.83M
Current Ratio
1.20
Debt/Equity
0.42
Conclusions
- 🟡Gross margin — Gross margin: 32.5% — reasonable
- 🔴Operating margin — Operating margin: 1.5% — weak
- 🔴Net margin — Net margin: -1.4% (negative)
- 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): -3.4% (negative)
- 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): -1.3% — weak
- 🟡Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 1.20
- 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.42
- 🔴Interest coverage — Interest coverage: 0.5x
🚀 Growth
Revenue
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Net Income
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Conclusions
- 🔴Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): -5.0%
- 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -186.7%
- 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 113.9%
- 🔴Net income growth — Net income growth: -183.1%
💎 Fair Value (Valuation)
Current Price
$35.13
Estimated Fair Value (DCF)
-$1.97
Gap
-105.6%
🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value
Show all model (DCF) assumptions →
Year 1 Growth Rate
0.1%
Discount Rate (WACC)
9.0%
Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%
Projection Years
5
| Year | Growth Rate | Projected FCF | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | $11.95M | $10.97M |
| 2 | 0.7% | $12.03M | $10.13M |
| 3 | 1.3% | $12.19M | $9.41M |
| 4 | 1.9% | $12.42M | $8.80M |
| 5 | 2.5% | $12.73M | $8.28M |
Base FCF (last actual year)
$11.94M
Terminal Value
$200.78M
Present Value of Terminal Value
$130.49M
Enterprise Value
$178.08M
Net Debt
$221.48M
Equity Value
$-43.40M
*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.
Book Value per Share
$42.50
Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)
$17.92
Conclusions
- 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: -$1.97 vs. price $35.13 (-105.6%)
- 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $17.92
- 🟡P/E — P/E: -25.2
🕴️ Insider Trading
Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.
| Name | Transaction Type | Date | Shares | Change | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borst George E | Exercise of Derivative Securities | 7.5.2026 | 45,335 | +5,000 | $16.97 |
| Borst George E | Exercise of Derivative Securities | 7.5.2026 | 0 | -5,000 | — |
| Johnson Adam M. | Grant/Award from Employer | 31.12.2025 | 29,217 | +825 | $24.23 |
| Alvare Manuel A. III | Exercise of Derivative Securities | 19.11.2025 | 11,045 | +3,000 | — |
| Alvare Manuel A. III | Tax Withholding in Shares | 19.11.2025 | 10,314 | -731 | $22.38 |
| Alvare Manuel A. III | Exercise of Derivative Securities | 19.11.2025 | 0 | -3,000 | — |
| Biumi Bonnie | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,309 | +6,309 | — |
| Romero Mercedes | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,309 | +6,309 | — |
| White Rebecca | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,309 | +6,309 | — |
| Schiappa Daniel | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,309 | +6,309 | — |
| Almeida Odilon | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,309 | +6,309 | — |
| Borst George E | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,309 | +6,309 | — |
| Johnson Adam M. | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,309 | +6,309 | — |
| McGill W Brett | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 33,179 | +33,179 | — |
| McGill W Brett | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 84,993 | +84,993 | — |
| MCLAMB MICHAEL H | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 7,316 | +7,316 | — |
| MCLAMB MICHAEL H | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 18,982 | +18,982 | — |
| Cassella Anthony E. Jr. | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 2,715 | +2,715 | — |
| Cassella Anthony E. Jr. | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 7,030 | +7,030 | — |
| Langbehn Kyle | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 11,167 | +11,167 | — |
| Langbehn Kyle | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 28,499 | +28,499 | — |
| Berg Shawn | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 3,384 | +3,384 | — |
| Berg Shawn | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 8,707 | +8,707 | — |
| Alvare Manuel A. III | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 2,317 | +2,317 | — |
| Alvare Manuel A. III | Grant/Award from Employer | 17.11.2025 | 6,057 | +6,057 | — |
📉 Short Interest
Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.
Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest
2,592,596 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 2,446,838 on 2026-06-30
Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.
Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity
70.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 78.2% the prior week
Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.
📰 News & Sentiment
Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 1 positive, 4 neutral, 2 negative out of the last 7 articles.
SeekingAlpha · 23.7.2026
SeekingAlpha · 23.7.2026
ChartMill · 23.7.2026
Benzinga · 23.7.2026
Benzinga · 23.7.2026
Fintel · 22.7.2026
Benzinga · 21.7.2026