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GPI

Group 1 Automotive Inc. Common Stock

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$270.82

$6.78 (-2.4%)

Market Cap

$3.23B

Day Range

$269.76 - $279.42

52-Week Range

$269.76 - $488.39

Beta

Next Earnings

26.10.2026

GPI is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sectorRetail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

-34.4% (1Y)

Investor Score
42/ 100D
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈19FTechnical
💰43DFundamental
🚀51C-Growth
💎67B-Valuation
📰50C-News
🏦42DQuality
⚠️42DRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Estimated fair value: $644.40 vs. price $270.82 (+137.9%)
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 24.4%
  • 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 13.2%
  • 🟢 P/E: 11.0
  • 🟢 CMF 20 days: 0.10

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
  • 🔴 ATR: 6.3% of price
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -31.4%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -34.7%
  • 🔴 Price is below the 50-day average

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟡 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟡 Mixed

Everyone's writing about Group 1 Automotive Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 50. Reason: The mix of positive and negative articles is balanced — 5 vs. 5 out of the last 20 articles.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (1 bullish · 9 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACDMACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 37.9 — weak/negative bias
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 3.2 — oversold
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 17.3 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-23.4% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴Bollinger BandsPrice is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (9%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -9.3%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: 0.10

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Low confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trendA -15.8% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
  • 🔴Divergence between price and cumulative money flow (A/D Line)Price and the cumulative Accumulation/Distribution Line are moving in opposite directions — a classic Wyckoff sign that the move isn't backed by real money, and may be less stable than it looks.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$277.60

Stop-Loss

$395.68

Risk per Share

$118.08

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$41.43

1:3 R

-$76.65

1:5 R

-$312.81

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

0 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

16.0%

Operating Margin

3.3%

Net Margin

1.4%

EBITDA Margin

3.3%

Efficiency

ROE

11.7%

ROA

3.1%

ROIC

EPS

$25.29

Balance Sheet

Cash

$32.50M

Total Debt

Current Ratio

1.08

Debt/Equity

Conclusions

  • 🔴Gross marginGross margin: 16.0% — weak
  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: 3.3% — weak
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: 1.4% — weak
  • 🟡Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 11.7% — reasonable
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 3.1% — weak
  • 🟡Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 1.08

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 13.2%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -31.4%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 24.4%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -34.7%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
1.6.2026$0.550
2.3.2026$0.550
1.12.2025$0.500
2.9.2025$0.500
2.6.2025$0.500
3.3.2025$0.500
2.12.2024$0.470
30.8.2024$0.470
3.6.2024$0.470
29.2.2024$0.470
30.11.2023$0.450
31.8.2023$0.450

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$270.82

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$644.40

Gap

+137.9%

🟢 Appears cheap relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

11.6%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
111.6%$473.94M$434.81M
29.4%$518.30M$436.24M
37.1%$554.96M$428.53M
44.8%$581.52M$411.96M
52.5%$596.06M$387.40M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$424.50M

Terminal Value

$9.40B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$6.11B

Enterprise Value

$8.21B

Net Debt

$0

Equity Value

$8.21B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$218.97

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$45.87

Conclusions

  • 🟢DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $644.40 vs. price $270.82 (+137.9%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $45.87
  • 🟢P/EP/E: 11.0

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESGrant/Award from Employer19.5.202618,261+809
Kenningham DarylGift26.2.202632,159-12,312
Kenningham DarylGift26.2.202634,795+12,312
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESTax Withholding in Shares19.2.202617,388-201$331.59
Kenningham DarylTax Withholding in Shares19.2.202644,471-804$331.59
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESTax Withholding in Shares15.2.202617,589-169$333.15
Kenningham DarylTax Withholding in Shares15.2.202645,275-563$333.15
Hobson Gillian A.Tax Withholding in Shares14.2.20269,543-126$333.15
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESTax Withholding in Shares14.2.202617,758-153$333.15
Kenningham DarylTax Withholding in Shares14.2.202645,838-1,018$333.15
Hobson Gillian A.Tax Withholding in Shares12.2.20269,669-144$338.54
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESTax Withholding in Shares12.2.202617,911-232$338.54
Washburn ShelleyTax Withholding in Shares12.2.20261,575-53$338.54
Kenningham DarylTax Withholding in Shares12.2.202646,856-2,125$338.54
Kenningham DarylGrant/Award from Employer11.2.202648,981+11,793
Hobson Gillian A.Tax Withholding in Shares11.2.20269,813-121$339.19
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESTax Withholding in Shares11.2.202618,143-138$339.19
Washburn ShelleyTax Withholding in Shares11.2.20261,628-42$339.19
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESGrant/Award from Employer10.2.202618,281+2,673
DeLongchamps Peter CGrant/Award from Employer10.2.202629,405+1,485
Hobson Gillian A.Grant/Award from Employer10.2.20269,934+2,228
McDuffie MelkeyaGrant/Award from Employer10.2.20261,417+1,114
Washburn ShelleyGrant/Award from Employer10.2.20261,670+743
MCHENRY DANIEL JAMESGrant/Award from Employer27.1.202615,608+2,510
DeLongchamps Peter CGrant/Award from Employer27.1.202627,920+1,636

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

+1.1%

982,209 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 971,468 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+10.7%

64.6% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 58.3% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 5 positive, 10 neutral, 5 negative out of the last 20 articles.