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GGG

Graco Inc. Common Stock

Industrials · ·

$83.05

▲ $0.55 (+0.7%)

Market Cap

$13.45B

Day Range

$82.46 - $83.40

52-Week Range

$72.51 - $95.69

Beta

—

Next Earnings

20.10.2026

GGG is a stock from the Industrials sector — Manufacturing, aerospace, defense, and infrastructure — closely tied to capital-investment cycles and economic growth.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

A

Agilent Technologies, Inc.

AA

Alcoa Corporation

AADX

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.

-1.1% (1Y)

Investor Score
72/ 100B
🟢 Strong

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈86ATechnical
💰80A-Fundamental
🚀64C+Growth
💎38FValuation
📰100A+News
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️62C+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟢 Bullish

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🟢 Bullish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 23.9%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.00
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 3.15
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $61.78 vs. price $83.05 (-25.6%)
  • 🔴 %K 91.2 — overbought

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Graco Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 100. Reason: 19 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

🟢 PH Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Aerospace and Industrial Growth — Yahoo🟢 AXON Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates Despite Strong Software and Device Growth — Yahoo🟢 Graco (GGG) Slid Despite Healthy Profitability and Improving Backlog Trends — Yahoo

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (9 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSI — RSI 66.6 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🔴Stochastic — %K 91.2 — overbought
  • 🟢ADX (trend strength) — ADX 30.7 — strong trend
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — +0.1% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (87%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 12.0%
  • 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟡CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.00

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trend — A 8.1% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟡 Range

The price is oscillating around the 200-day average with no clear direction — the method recommends great caution here (buying at the bottom of the range / selling at the top) or avoiding trading altogether.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

In a range, the method doesn't give a single directional stop point — the market currently lacks a clear direction, consider waiting for a breakout from the range.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

52.5%

Operating Margin

27.9%

Net Margin

23.3%

EBITDA Margin

32.7%

Efficiency

ROE

19.7%

ROA

15.9%

ROIC

—

EPS

$3.14

Balance Sheet

Cash

$624.08M

Total Debt

$1.62M

Current Ratio

3.15

Debt/Equity

0.00

Conclusions

  • 🟢Gross margin — Gross margin: 52.5% — strong
  • 🟢Operating margin — Operating margin: 27.9% — strong
  • 🟢Net margin — Net margin: 23.3% — strong
  • 🟡Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 19.7% — reasonable
  • 🟢Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 15.9% — strong
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 3.15
  • 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.00

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 5.8%
  • 🟡Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 9.2%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 23.9%
  • 🟡Net income growth — Net income growth: 7.4%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
20.7.2026$0.295
13.4.2026$0.295
16.1.2026$0.295
20.10.2025$0.275
21.7.2025$0.275
14.4.2025$0.275
17.1.2025$0.275
21.10.2024$0.255
22.7.2024$0.255
12.4.2024$0.255
19.1.2024$0.255
13.10.2023$0.235

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$83.05

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$61.78

Gap

-25.6%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

1.5%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
11.5%$647.52M$594.06M
21.8%$658.88M$554.57M
32.0%$672.08M$518.97M
42.3%$687.21M$486.83M
52.5%$704.39M$457.80M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$637.92M

Terminal Value

$11.11B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$7.22B

Enterprise Value

$9.83B

Net Debt

$-622.46M

Equity Value

$10.45B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$15.68

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$10.43

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $61.78 vs. price $83.05 (-25.6%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $10.43
  • 🟡P/E — P/E: 26.8

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 1 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
GILLIGAN J KEVINGrant/Award from Employer1.7.202699,367+621$75.61
FERAGEN JODY HGrant/Award from Employer1.7.202614,253+414$75.61
Etchart EricGrant/Award from Employer1.7.202617,805+174$75.61
Black Archie C.Grant/Award from Employer1.7.20264,136+353$75.61
Wheeler Kevin J.Grant/Award from Employer1.7.20268,337+331$75.61
Anfang Heather LGrant/Award from Employer1.7.20263,865+353$75.61
Simon Andrea HelenOpen Market Purchase27.4.20261,240+1,240$80.53
Gupta SanjivGrant/Award from Employer15.4.202653,330+53,330—
Gupta SanjivGrant/Award from Employer15.4.202613,076+13,076—
GILLIGAN J KEVINGrant/Award from Employer1.4.202698,386+394$84.65
FERAGEN JODY HGrant/Award from Employer1.4.202613,789+350$84.65
Etchart EricGrant/Award from Employer1.4.202617,566+145$84.65
Black Archie C.Grant/Award from Employer1.4.20263,769+295$84.65
Wheeler Kevin J.Grant/Award from Employer1.4.20267,977+276$84.65
Anfang Heather LGrant/Award from Employer1.4.20263,499+295$84.65
GILLIGAN J KEVINGrant/Award from Employer13.2.20265,240+5,240—
FERAGEN JODY HGrant/Award from Employer13.2.20265,240+5,240—
LOWE DAVID MGrant/Award from Employer13.2.202632,150+32,150—
MORFITT MARTHA A MGrant/Award from Employer13.2.20265,240+5,240—
SHEAHAN MARK WGrant/Award from Employer13.2.2026194,650+194,650—
Etchart EricGrant/Award from Employer13.2.20265,240+5,240—
Black Archie C.Grant/Award from Employer13.2.20265,240+5,240—
O'Shea Peter JGrant/Award from Employer13.2.202617,770+17,770—
Wheeler Kevin J.Grant/Award from Employer13.2.20265,240+5,240—
Wordell Angela FGrant/Award from Employer13.2.202617,770+17,770—

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↑+3.3%

6,551,718 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 6,340,063 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↓-2.1%

62.8% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 64.2% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 19 positive, 1 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 20 articles.