GBTG
Global Business Travel Group Inc. Class A Common StockConsumer Discretionary · ·
$9.43
▼ $0.00 (-0.0%)
Market Cap
$4.93B
Day Range
$9.43 - $9.45
52-Week Range
$4.96 - $9.54
Beta
—
Next Earnings
—
GBTG is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sector — Retail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.
🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector
+28.6% (1Y)
This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer
Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%
🔍 Cross-Check
Overall Score
🟡 Mixed
Technical Trend
🟢 Bullish
Insiders
🔴 Bearish
✅ Why is the score relatively high?
- 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 173.3%
- 🟢 Net income growth: 182.8%
- 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
- 🟢 ATR: 0.3% of price
- 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
⚠️ What's concerning?
- 🔴 Estimated fair value: $2.29 vs. price $9.43 (-75.8%)
- 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -37.0%
- 🔴 MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
- 🔴 -5.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🔴 P/E: 42.9
🚦 Quality & Risk Checks
📰 News Trend
Based on real financial news (Finnhub)Everyone's writing about Global Business Travel Group Inc. Class A Common Stock. News trend score: 50. Reason: The mix of positive and negative articles is balanced — 4 vs. 4 out of the last 12 articles.
News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer
📈 Technical Analysis
Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.
🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (8 bullish · 3 bearish · 1 neutral)
Conclusions
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is above the 200-day average
- 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
- 🟢RSI — RSI 70.0 — healthy positive momentum
- 🟡Stochastic — %K 50.0 — neutral range
- 🟢ADX (trend strength) — ADX 60.8 — strong trend
- 🟢Volume trend — Rising volume supports the price advance
- 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -5.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (85%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
- 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 0.2%
- 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
- 🔴CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.53
Wyckoff Method Analysis
A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.
A pattern consistent with an early/mid distribution phase — a trading range after an advance with declining volume.
Medium confidence
$9.32
Range Bottom
$9.51
Range Top
50
Trading Days in Range
Evidence Behind This Read
- 🟡Trading range identified — The stock is trading in a 2.0% range (between 9.32 and 9.51) over 50 trading days.
- 🔴The range follows an uptrend — Under the Wyckoff method, a trading range following an advance is a natural candidate for a Distribution phase — smart money selling to the last buyers.
- 🟢Trading volume in the range is declining — Declining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.
The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.
🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)
Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.
1️⃣ Market Structure
🟢 Uptrend
The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.
2️⃣ Value Zone
🟢 Price in value zone
The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.
3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)
Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.
Entry
$9.43
Stop-Loss
$9.29
Risk per Share
$0.14
Direction
Long
Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)
1:2 R
$9.71
1:3 R
$9.85
1:5 R
$10.13
💰 Position Size Calculator
A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.
Suggested Position Size
713 sh.
💰 Financial Health
Profitability
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
4.8%
Net Margin
4.1%
EBITDA Margin
11.8%
Efficiency
ROE
6.9%
ROA
2.3%
ROIC
—
EPS
$0.22
Balance Sheet
Cash
$434.00M
Total Debt
$1.42B
Current Ratio
1.14
Debt/Equity
0.88
Conclusions
- 🔴Operating margin — Operating margin: 4.8% — weak
- 🔴Net margin — Net margin: 4.1% — weak
- 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 6.9% — weak
- 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 2.3% — weak
- 🟡Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 1.14
- 🟡Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.88
🚀 Growth
Revenue
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Net Income
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Conclusions
- 🟢Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 12.2%
- 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 173.3%
- 🔴Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: -37.0%
- 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 182.8%
💎 Fair Value (Valuation)
Current Price
$9.43
Estimated Fair Value (DCF)
$2.29
Gap
-75.8%
🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value
Show all model (DCF) assumptions →
Year 1 Growth Rate
13.9%
Discount Rate (WACC)
9.0%
Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%
Projection Years
5
| Year | Growth Rate | Projected FCF | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.9% | $118.46M | $108.68M |
| 2 | 11.0% | $131.55M | $110.72M |
| 3 | 8.2% | $142.33M | $109.91M |
| 4 | 5.3% | $149.95M | $106.23M |
| 5 | 2.5% | $153.70M | $99.89M |
Base FCF (last actual year)
$104.00M
Terminal Value
$2.42B
Present Value of Terminal Value
$1.58B
Enterprise Value
$2.11B
Net Debt
$984.00M
Equity Value
$1.13B
*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.
Book Value per Share
$3.26
Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)
-$1.85
Conclusions
- 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $2.29 vs. price $9.43 (-75.8%)
- 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: -$1.85
- 🔴P/E — P/E: 42.9
🕴️ Insider Trading
Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 14 sales out of the last 25 filings.
| Name | Transaction Type | Date | Shares | Change | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams Karen A | Tax Withholding in Shares | 1.7.2026 | 568,257 | -27,900 | $9.39 |
| Bock Eric J. | Gift | 12.6.2026 | 864,842 | -6,500 | — |
| Bock Eric J. | Open Market Sale | 12.6.2026 | 773,956 | -90,886 | $9.35 |
| Bock Eric J. | Open Market Sale | 11.6.2026 | 871,342 | -125,030 | $9.36 |
| Abbott Paul G | Open Market Sale | 11.6.2026 | 2,582,911 | -574,317 | $9.35 |
| Abbott Paul G | Open Market Sale | 9.6.2026 | 3,157,228 | -216,523 | $9.35 |
| Bock Eric J. | Open Market Sale | 9.6.2026 | 996,372 | -200,000 | $9.34 |
| Konwiser Evan | Open Market Sale | 9.6.2026 | 502,641 | -356,222 | $9.34 |
| Williams Karen A | Open Market Sale | 8.6.2026 | 596,157 | -10,000 | $9.35 |
| Abbott Paul G | Open Market Sale | 8.6.2026 | 3,373,751 | -173,460 | $9.36 |
| Bush James Peter | Open Market Sale | 5.6.2026 | 120,526 | -17,500 | $9.36 |
| Abbott Paul G | Open Market Sale | 5.6.2026 | 3,547,211 | -8,745 | $9.36 |
| Bock Eric J. | Open Market Sale | 2.6.2026 | 1,196,372 | -400,000 | $9.36 |
| Bock Eric J. | Open Market Sale | 1.6.2026 | 1,596,372 | -400,000 | $9.34 |
| OHara Michael Gregory | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 120,526 | +23,429 | — |
| Joabar Raymond | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 120,526 | +23,429 | — |
| Ward Susan F | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 120,526 | +23,429 | — |
| Arzani Ugo | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 59,917 | +23,429 | — |
| Winters Kathleen A | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 120,526 | +23,429 | — |
| Bush James Peter | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 138,026 | +23,429 | — |
| Drummond Alexander | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 79,284 | +23,429 | — |
| Al-Thani Faisal Saoud F.Q. | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 54,245 | +23,429 | — |
| Thompson John David | Open Market Sale | 4.5.2026 | 626,793 | -108,908 | $9.34 |
| Thompson John David | Open Market Sale | 4.3.2026 | 735,701 | -109,020 | $5.74 |
| Thompson John David | Tax Withholding in Shares | 1.3.2026 | 903,878 | -37,808 | $5.47 |
📉 Short Interest
Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.
Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest
5,710,046 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 4,064,295 on 2026-06-30
Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.
Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity
45.1% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 33.2% the prior week
Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.
📰 News & Sentiment
Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 4 positive, 4 neutral, 4 negative out of the last 12 articles.
Zacks · 4.8.2026
MT Newswires · 4.8.2026
Business Wire · 4.8.2026
- 🔴 Global Business Travel Q2 EPS $0.03 Misses $0.12 Estimate, Sales $870.000M Beat $823.327M Estimate
Benzinga · 4.8.2026
MarketBeat · 3.8.2026
StockStory · 1.8.2026
Trefis · 31.7.2026
StockStory · 31.7.2026
Trefis · 15.7.2026
Yahoo · 15.7.2026
StockStory · 6.7.2026
StockStory · 29.6.2026