AVO
Mission Produce Inc. Common StockConsumer Staples · ·
$12.56
▲ $0.41 (+3.4%)
Market Cap
$1.11B
Day Range
$12.10 - $12.62
52-Week Range
$10.07 - $15.53
Beta
—
Next Earnings
07.09.2026
AVO is a stock from the Consumer Defensive sector — Food, beverages, and household products — steady demand even in a recession, since these are essential consumer goods.
🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector
+0.9% (1Y)
This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer
Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%
🔍 Cross-Check
Overall Score
🔴 Bearish
Technical Trend
🔴 Bearish
Insiders
🟢 Bullish
✅ Why is the score relatively high?
- 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.16
- 🟢 Current ratio: 1.95
- 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
- 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 12.7%
- 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.16
⚠️ What's concerning?
- 🔴 Estimated fair value: $9.53 vs. price $12.56 (-24.1%)
- 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
- 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -39.2%
- 🔴 Price is below the 200-day average
- 🔴 MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
🚦 Quality & Risk Checks
📰 News Trend
Based on real financial news (Finnhub)Everyone's writing about Mission Produce Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 56. Reason: 1 of the last 2 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.
News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer
📈 Technical Analysis
Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.
🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (1 bullish · 8 bearish · 2 neutral)
Conclusions
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
- 🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
- 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
- 🔴RSI — RSI 48.8 — weak/negative bias
- 🟡Stochastic — %K 45.8 — neutral range
- 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 16.4 — weak trend/choppy
- 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -12.4% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🔴Bollinger Bands — Price is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (31%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
- 🔴ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: -0.6%
- 🔴Parabolic SAR — Price is below the SAR point — downtrend
- 🔴CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.11
Wyckoff Method Analysis
A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.
The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.
Medium confidence
Evidence Behind This Read
- 🟢Rising price trend — A 9.8% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.
🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)
Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.
1️⃣ Market Structure
🟡 Range
The price is oscillating around the 200-day average with no clear direction — the method recommends great caution here (buying at the bottom of the range / selling at the top) or avoiding trading altogether.
2️⃣ Value Zone
🟡 Price far from value zone
The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.
💰 Financial Health
Profitability
Gross Margin
11.6%
Operating Margin
4.7%
Net Margin
2.7%
EBITDA Margin
7.2%
Efficiency
ROE
6.4%
ROA
3.8%
ROIC
—
EPS
$0.53
Balance Sheet
Cash
$64.80M
Total Debt
$95.80M
Current Ratio
1.95
Debt/Equity
0.16
Conclusions
- 🔴Gross margin — Gross margin: 11.6% — weak
- 🔴Operating margin — Operating margin: 4.7% — weak
- 🔴Net margin — Net margin: 2.7% — weak
- 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 6.4% — weak
- 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 3.8% — weak
- 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 1.95
- 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.16
🚀 Growth
Revenue
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Net Income
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Conclusions
- 🟢Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 12.7%
- 🟡Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 1.9%
- 🔴Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: -39.2%
- 🟡Net income growth — Net income growth: 2.7%
💎 Fair Value (Valuation)
Current Price
$12.56
Estimated Fair Value (DCF)
$9.53
Gap
-24.1%
🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value
Show all model (DCF) assumptions →
Year 1 Growth Rate
11.1%
Discount Rate (WACC)
9.0%
Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%
Projection Years
5
| Year | Growth Rate | Projected FCF | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11.1% | $41.33M | $37.92M |
| 2 | 9.0% | $45.03M | $37.90M |
| 3 | 6.8% | $48.10M | $37.14M |
| 4 | 4.7% | $50.33M | $35.66M |
| 5 | 2.5% | $51.59M | $33.53M |
Base FCF (last actual year)
$37.20M
Terminal Value
$813.55M
Present Value of Terminal Value
$528.75M
Enterprise Value
$710.90M
Net Debt
$31.00M
Equity Value
$679.90M
*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.
Book Value per Share
$8.23
Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)
$7.68
Conclusions
- 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $9.53 vs. price $12.56 (-24.1%)
- 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $7.68
- 🟡P/E — P/E: 23.7
🕴️ Insider Trading
Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 13 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.
| Name | Transaction Type | Date | Shares | Change | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | Open Market Purchase | 9.7.2026 | 12,963,396 | +592,957 | $13.28 |
| Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | Open Market Purchase | 8.7.2026 | 12,370,439 | +687,222 | $13.42 |
| Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | Open Market Purchase | 7.7.2026 | 11,683,217 | +491,865 | $13.40 |
| Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | Open Market Purchase | 6.7.2026 | 11,191,352 | +650,415 | $12.73 |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Open Market Purchase | 23.6.2026 | 855,842 | +70,283 | $11.25 |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Open Market Purchase | 22.6.2026 | 785,559 | +29,717 | $11.36 |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Open Market Purchase | 17.6.2026 | 755,842 | +286,410 | $11.27 |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Open Market Purchase | 16.6.2026 | 469,432 | +13,590 | $11.40 |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Open Market Purchase | 15.6.2026 | 455,842 | +300,000 | $11.29 |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Open Market Purchase | 12.6.2026 | 755,505 | +10,000 | $11.14 |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Open Market Purchase | 12.6.2026 | 155,842 | +155,842 | $11.16 |
| Pack Jay A | Open Market Purchase | 11.6.2026 | 429,246 | +25,281 | $11.03 |
| Pack Jay A | Open Market Purchase | 11.6.2026 | 12,169 | +12,169 | $11.04 |
| HOLMGREN KATHLEEN M | Grant/Award from Employer | 28.5.2026 | 7,440 | +7,440 | — |
| HOLMGREN KATHLEEN M | Grant/Award from Employer | 28.5.2026 | 33,824 | +26,384 | — |
| Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | Other Transaction | 28.5.2026 | 10,540,937 | +549,360 | — |
| Stone Douglas M | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 11,637 | +8,240 | — |
| Taylor Bruce C. | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 745,505 | +8,240 | — |
| Sims Michael B | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 18,208 | +8,240 | — |
| Flanagan Laura Jean | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 15,487 | +8,240 | — |
| Sarsam Tony B | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 33,270 | +8,240 | — |
| Barnard Stephen J | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 287,459 | +31,554 | — |
| Pack Jay A | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 403,965 | +8,240 | — |
| Gonzalez Luis A | Grant/Award from Employer | 9.4.2026 | 49,022 | +8,240 | — |
| Gonzalez Luis A | Tax Withholding in Shares | 9.4.2026 | 45,751 | -3,271 | $14.70 |
📉 Short Interest
Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.
Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest
5,121,394 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 4,411,698 on 2026-06-30
Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.
Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity
79.3% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 76.3% the prior week
Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.
📰 News & Sentiment
Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 1 positive, 1 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 2 articles.
Benzinga · 5.8.2026
SeekingAlpha · 26.7.2026