ARX
Accelerant Holdings Class A CommonFinance · ·
$12.29
▲ $0.03 (+0.2%)
Market Cap
—
Day Range
$12.10 - $12.46
52-Week Range
$9.18 - $30.48
Beta
—
Next Earnings
13.08.2026
🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector
-54.9% (1Y)
This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer
Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%
🔍 Cross-Check
Overall Score
🔴 Bearish
Technical Trend
🔴 Bearish
Insiders
🔴 Bearish
✅ Why is the score relatively high?
- 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 51.5%
- 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.17
- 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.17
- 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.17
- 🟢 CMF 20 days: 0.09
⚠️ What's concerning?
- 🔴 Net margin: -147.4% (negative)
- 🔴 ATR: 7.1% of price
- 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -192.8% (negative)
- 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -5450.0%
- 🔴 Net income growth: -5974.2%
🚦 Quality & Risk Checks
📰 News Trend
Based on real financial news (Finnhub)Everyone's writing about Accelerant Holdings Class A Common. News trend score: 44. Reason: 2 of the last 4 articles are negative, versus 1 positive.
News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer
📈 Technical Analysis
Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.
🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (1 bullish · 8 bearish · 2 neutral)
Conclusions
- 🔴Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is below the 50-day average
- 🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
- 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
- 🔴RSI — RSI 44.0 — weak/negative bias
- 🟡Stochastic — %K 34.6 — neutral range
- 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 15.3 — weak trend/choppy
- 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -9.2% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🔴Bollinger Bands — Price is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (30%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
- 🔴ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: -9.1%
- 🔴Parabolic SAR — Price is below the SAR point — downtrend
- 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.09
Wyckoff Method Analysis
A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.
The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.
Low confidence
Evidence Behind This Read
- 🔴Falling price trend — A -24.8% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
- 🔴Divergence between price and cumulative money flow (A/D Line) — Price and the cumulative Accumulation/Distribution Line are moving in opposite directions — a classic Wyckoff sign that the move isn't backed by real money, and may be less stable than it looks.
The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.
🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)
Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.
1️⃣ Market Structure
🔴 Downtrend
The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.
2️⃣ Value Zone
🟡 Price far from value zone
The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.
3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)
Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.
Entry
$12.29
Stop-Loss
$17.97
Risk per Share
$5.68
Direction
Short
Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)
1:2 R
$0.94
1:3 R
-$4.74
1:5 R
-$16.09
💰 Position Size Calculator
A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.
Suggested Position Size
17 sh.
💰 Financial Health
Profitability
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
—
Net Margin
-147.4%
EBITDA Margin
—
Efficiency
ROE
-192.8%
ROA
-16.3%
ROIC
—
EPS
-$7.49
Balance Sheet
Cash
$1.72B
Total Debt
$121.30M
Current Ratio
—
Debt/Equity
0.17
Conclusions
- 🔴Net margin — Net margin: -147.4% (negative)
- 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): -192.8% (negative)
- 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): -16.3% — weak
- 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.17
🚀 Growth
Revenue
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Net Income
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
אין נתונים היסטוריים זמינים.
Conclusions
- 🟢Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 51.5%
- 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -5450.0%
- 🔴Net income growth — Net income growth: -5974.2%
💎 Fair Value (Valuation)
Not enough cash-flow data to calculate a DCF model for this stock.
Book Value per Share
$3.67
Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)
$3.06
Conclusions
- 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $3.06
- 🟡P/E — P/E: -1.6
🕴️ Insider Trading
Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 14 sales out of the last 25 filings.
| Name | Transaction Type | Date | Shares | Change | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 3.8.2026 | 27,671,939 | -80,000 | $12.06 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 27.7.2026 | 27,767,162 | -80,000 | $14.63 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 27.7.2026 | 27,751,939 | -15,223 | $14.45 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 20.7.2026 | 27,847,162 | -80,000 | $13.51 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 17.7.2026 | 27,927,162 | -14,777 | $14.30 |
| ONeill Francis James | Open Market Sale | 15.7.2026 | 6,737,239 | -82,767 | $12.71 |
| ONeill Francis James | Open Market Sale | 14.7.2026 | 6,820,006 | -83,119 | $12.84 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 13.7.2026 | 27,941,939 | -80,000 | $13.18 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 6.7.2026 | 28,021,939 | -80,000 | $13.33 |
| ONeill Francis James | Open Market Sale | 23.6.2026 | 7,050,125 | -76,464 | $13.11 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Open Market Sale | 23.6.2026 | 28,181,939 | -80,000 | $13.11 |
| Hasley Nancy | Open Market Sale | 23.6.2026 | 1,362,323 | -35,000 | $13.11 |
| ONeill Francis James | Open Market Sale | 22.6.2026 | 7,126,589 | -70,536 | $13.21 |
| Little Paul Christopher | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 20,868 | +11,658 | — |
| Hasley Nancy | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 1,397,323 | +11,658 | — |
| Meriwether Karen Sue | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 21,410 | +11,658 | — |
| Talach David George Paul | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 23,316 | +23,316 | — |
| Wainwright Simon | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 23,316 | +23,316 | — |
| Sternberg Matthew David | Grant/Award from Employer | 13.5.2026 | 617,960 | +279,329 | — |
| Green Jay Michael | Open Market Sale | 23.3.2026 | 1,175,589 | -50,000 | $12.77 |
| RADKE JEFFREY L | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.3.2026 | 333,652 | +300,171 | — |
| Sternberg Matthew David | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.3.2026 | 338,631 | +180,667 | — |
| Lee-Smith Christopher | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.3.2026 | 17,784,023 | +128,644 | — |
| ONeill Francis James | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.3.2026 | 7,363,769 | +128,644 | — |
| Green Jay Michael | Tax Withholding in Shares | 17.3.2026 | 1,225,589 | -28,625 | $11.63 |
📉 Short Interest
Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.
Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest
6,767,480 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 6,849,378 on 2026-06-30
Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.
Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity
28.9% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 29.2% the prior week
Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.
📰 News & Sentiment
Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 1 positive, 1 neutral, 2 negative out of the last 4 articles.
Benzinga · 29.7.2026
Benzinga · 29.7.2026
Benzinga · 16.7.2026
Benzinga · 13.7.2026