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AMH

American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest

Real Estate · ·

$34.55

$0.03 (-0.1%)

Market Cap

Day Range

$34.19 - $35.07

52-Week Range

$27.22 - $35.85

Beta

Next Earnings

27.10.2026

AMH is a stock from the Real Estate sectorREITs and real-estate companies — highly sensitive to interest rates and property prices.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

-0.6% (1Y)

Investor Score
64/ 100C+
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈90A+Technical
💰46D+Fundamental
🚀56CGrowth
💎38FValuation
📰100A+News
🏦50C-Quality
⚠️58CRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🟢 Bullish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 ATR: 1.9% of price
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢 RSI 61.4 — healthy positive momentum

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $27.98 vs. price $34.55 (-19.0%)
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): 7.3% — weak
  • 🔴 Return on assets (ROA): 3.9% — weak

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟡 Conservative leverage🟢 Daily volatility (ATR)🟡 Leverage risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest. News trend score: 100. Reason: 13 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (10 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 61.4 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 76.7 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 20.3 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🟢Volume trendRising volume supports the price advance
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500+1.8% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (90%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 3.7%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: 0.06

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trendA 7.7% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$34.55

Stop-Loss

$30.83

Risk per Share

$3.72

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$42.00

1:3 R

$45.72

1:5 R

$53.16

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

26 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

Net Margin

EBITDA Margin

Efficiency

ROE

7.3%

ROA

3.9%

ROIC

EPS

$1.18

Balance Sheet

Cash

$108.52M

Total Debt

$5.10B

Current Ratio

Debt/Equity

0.72

Conclusions

  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 7.3% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 3.9% — weak
  • 🟡Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.72

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: 9.3%
  • 🟡Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 5.9%
  • 🟡Net income growthNet income growth: 9.7%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
15.6.2026$0.330
13.3.2026$0.330
15.12.2025$0.300
15.9.2025$0.300
13.6.2025$0.300
14.3.2025$0.300
13.12.2024$0.260
13.9.2024$0.260
14.6.2024$0.260
14.3.2024$0.260
14.12.2023$0.220
14.9.2023$0.220

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$34.55

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$27.98

Gap

-19.0%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

10.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
110.0%$906.05M$831.24M
28.1%$979.67M$824.57M
36.3%$1.04B$803.76M
44.4%$1.09B$769.66M
52.5%$1.11B$723.76M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$823.68M

Terminal Value

$17.56B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$11.41B

Enterprise Value

$15.37B

Net Debt

$4.99B

Equity Value

$10.38B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$18.96

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$18.61

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $27.98 vs. price $34.55 (-19.0%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $18.61
  • 🟡P/EP/E: 29.3

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 11 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
GUSTAVSON TAMARA HUGHESExercise of Derivative Securities5.6.20269,395,345+10,000$21.57
GUSTAVSON TAMARA HUGHESExercise of Derivative Securities5.6.20269,405,345+10,000$23.38
GUSTAVSON TAMARA HUGHESExercise of Derivative Securities5.6.20269,415,345+10,000$19.40
GUSTAVSON TAMARA HUGHESExercise of Derivative Securities5.6.20260-10,000
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase18.5.202613,400+89$23.50
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase18.5.202617,000+1,952$23.53
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase15.5.202613,311+1,311$23.40
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase15.5.202615,048+48$23.40
CORRIGAN JACK EGrant/Award from Employer14.5.202682,732+5,421
HART MATTHEW JGrant/Award from Employer14.5.202668,018+7,016
SWANN LYNN CGrant/Award from Employer14.5.202641,331+5,421
BENHAM DOUGLAS NGrant/Award from Employer14.5.202639,648+5,421
GUSTAVSON TAMARA HUGHESGrant/Award from Employer14.5.20269,385,345+5,421
Webb Winifred MarkusGrant/Award from Employer14.5.202632,017+5,421
ZAIST MATTHEW RGrant/Award from Employer14.5.202632,829+5,421
Willoughby JayGrant/Award from Employer14.5.202633,476+5,421
Kerrick Michelle C.Grant/Award from Employer14.5.20265,421+5,421
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase13.5.202620,000+400$23.25
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase13.5.202612,000+1,000$23.25
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase13.5.2026100+100$23.25
CORRIGAN JACK EOpen Market Purchase12.5.20266+6$23.00
Lau ChristopherGift19.3.2026311,012-1,075
Goldberg DavidOpen Market Purchase3.3.202636,723+2,000$29.30
BENHAM DOUGLAS NOpen Market Purchase2.3.202644,717+1,200$24.20
BENHAM DOUGLAS NOpen Market Purchase25.2.202643,517+1,571$24.00

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

+22.2%

10,855,177 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 8,886,269 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+17.5%

61.4% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 52.2% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 13 positive, 7 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 20 articles.