🎉 Free to use until Sep 16, 2026 — try it out for our launch!
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.28 0.86%
TA-125₪4,053.79 0.53%
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.28 0.86%
TA-125₪4,053.79 0.53%

ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$97.17

$6.82 (-6.6%)

Market Cap

$1.79B

Day Range

$97.10 - $103.80

52-Week Range

$47.83 - $123.63

Beta

Next Earnings

02.11.2026

ALGT is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sectorRetail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+96.4% (1Y)

Investor Score
48/ 100D+
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈44DTechnical
💰17FFundamental
🚀76B+Growth
💎38FValuation
📰98A+News
🏦58CQuality
⚠️28FRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 81.6%
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 96.1%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 81.4%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: -$21.77 vs. price $97.17 (-122.4%)
  • 🔴 Net margin: -1.7% (negative)
  • 🔴 ATR: 6.2% of price
  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.95
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -4.2% (negative)

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟡 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🔴 Leverage risk🔴 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Allegiant Travel Company. News trend score: 98. Reason: 10 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 2 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (3 bullish · 6 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACDMACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 44.8 — weak/negative bias
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 36.1 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 15.2 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500+16.6% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴Bollinger BandsPrice is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (23%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -4.1%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.19

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trendA 6.8% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$97.17

Stop-Loss

$73.93

Risk per Share

$23.24

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$143.64

1:3 R

$166.88

1:5 R

$213.35

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

4 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

1.4%

Net Margin

-1.7%

EBITDA Margin

11.0%

Efficiency

ROE

-4.2%

ROA

-1.1%

ROIC

EPS

-$2.48

Balance Sheet

Cash

$172.70M

Total Debt

$1.80B

Current Ratio

0.95

Debt/Equity

1.71

Conclusions

  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: 1.4% — weak
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: -1.7% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): -4.2% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): -1.1% — weak
  • 🔴Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 0.95
  • 🔴Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 1.71
  • 🔴Interest coverageInterest coverage: 0.2x

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 3.7%
  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: 81.6%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 96.1%
  • 🟢Net income growthNet income growth: 81.4%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
14.5.2024$0.600
14.2.2024$0.600
14.11.2023$0.600
14.8.2023$0.600

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$97.17

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

-$21.77

Gap

-122.4%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

4.3%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
14.3%$78.33M$71.86M
23.8%$81.34M$68.47M
33.4%$84.11M$64.95M
42.9%$86.59M$61.34M
52.5%$88.75M$57.68M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$75.10M

Terminal Value

$1.40B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$909.62M

Enterprise Value

$1.23B

Net Debt

$1.63B

Equity Value

$-393.01M

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$58.32

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$58.32

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: -$21.77 vs. price $97.17 (-122.4%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $58.32
  • 🟡P/EP/E: -39.2

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 7 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Anderson Gregory ClarkGrant/Award from Employer15.5.2026125,681+20,026
VOGEL JENNIFER LGrant/Award from Employer13.5.202610,277+1,000
Bricker JudeTax Withholding in Shares13.5.202651,606-40,437$75.21
Bricker JudeGrant/Award from Employer13.5.202652,606+1,000
Kennedy Thomas CGrant/Award from Employer13.5.20266,894+1,000
Hollingsworth Tyler JayTax Withholding in Shares12.4.202620,291-87$85.58
Neal Robert JamesTax Withholding in Shares3.4.202636,249-179$82.84
Wells Drew AllenTax Withholding in Shares3.4.202635,192-179$82.84
Anderson Gregory ClarkTax Withholding in Shares1.4.2026105,655-4,832$83.12
Aretos RebeccaGrant/Award from Employer18.2.202610,888+1,822
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JROpen Market Sale10.2.20261,887,348-18,757$113.52
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JROpen Market Sale10.2.2026150,000-861$114.00
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JROpen Market Sale9.2.20261,906,105-56,243$114.81
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JROpen Market Sale9.2.2026175,000-25,000$116.19
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JROpen Market Sale9.2.2026150,861-24,139$114.79
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JROpen Market Sale6.2.20262,037,348-100,000$113.67
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JROpen Market Sale6.2.20261,962,348-75,000$114.99
Anderson Gregory ClarkGrant/Award from Employer6.2.2026110,488+1,948
Neal Robert JamesGrant/Award from Employer6.2.202636,437+10,437
Wells Drew AllenGrant/Award from Employer6.2.202635,383+9,760
Hollingsworth Tyler JayGrant/Award from Employer6.2.202620,509+6,812
Anderson Gregory ClarkGrant/Award from Employer6.2.2026110,487+1,947
Neal Robert JamesGrant/Award from Employer6.2.202636,428+10,428
Wells Drew AllenGrant/Award from Employer6.2.202635,371+9,748
Hollingsworth Tyler JayGrant/Award from Employer6.2.202620,378+6,681

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-20.7%

1,624,542 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 2,048,033 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-8.5%

55.3% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 60.4% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 10 positive, 8 neutral, 2 negative out of the last 20 articles.