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SARO

StandardAero Inc. Common Stock

Industrials · ·

$30.00

$1.01 (-3.3%)

Market Cap

$9.97B

Day Range

$29.85 - $31.64

52-Week Range

$23.83 - $34.48

Beta

Next Earnings

09.11.2026

SARO is a stock from the Industrials sectorManufacturing, aerospace, defense, and infrastructure — closely tied to capital-investment cycles and economic growth.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+10.3% (1Y)

Investor Score
64/ 100C+
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈83A-Technical
💰47D+Fundamental
🚀79B+Growth
💎33FValuation
📰80A-News
🏦58CQuality
⚠️56CRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 1975.0%
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 980.7%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 2427.9%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 2.20

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $8.34 vs. price $30.00 (-72.2%)
  • 🔴 P/E: 37.4
  • 🔴 Gross margin: 14.8% — weak
  • 🔴 Operating margin: 9.1% — weak
  • 🔴 %K 97.9 — overbought

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟡 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟡 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about StandardAero Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 80. Reason: 5 of the last 11 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (9 bullish · 2 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 66.3 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 97.9 — overbought
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 17.8 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500+18.8% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (99%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 16.4%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: 0.19

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trendA 14.6% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$31.01

Stop-Loss

$23.25

Risk per Share

$7.76

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$46.54

1:3 R

$54.30

1:5 R

$69.83

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

12 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

14.8%

Operating Margin

9.1%

Net Margin

4.6%

EBITDA Margin

12.3%

Efficiency

ROE

10.4%

ROA

4.2%

ROIC

EPS

$0.84

Balance Sheet

Cash

$289.72M

Total Debt

$2.21B

Current Ratio

2.20

Debt/Equity

0.83

Conclusions

  • 🔴Gross marginGross margin: 14.8% — weak
  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: 9.1% — weak
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: 4.6% — weak
  • 🟡Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 10.4% — reasonable
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 4.2% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 2.20
  • 🟡Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.83
  • 🟡Interest coverageInterest coverage: 3.2x

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 15.8%
  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: 1975.0%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 980.7%
  • 🟢Net income growthNet income growth: 2427.9%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$30.00

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$8.34

Gap

-72.2%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

13.5%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
113.5%$265.91M$243.95M
210.7%$294.47M$247.85M
38.0%$318.02M$245.57M
45.2%$334.71M$237.11M
52.5%$343.07M$222.97M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$234.30M

Terminal Value

$5.41B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$3.52B

Enterprise Value

$4.71B

Net Debt

$1.92B

Equity Value

$2.79B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$7.98

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

-$0.55

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $8.34 vs. price $30.00 (-72.2%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: -$0.55
  • 🔴P/EP/E: 37.4

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 5 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Ford Russell WayneOpen Market Sale7.7.2026446,955-40,000$30.12
Ford Russell WayneOpen Market Sale6.7.2026486,955-40,000$30.44
Ford Russell WayneOpen Market Sale2.7.2026526,955-40,000$30.24
Ford Russell WayneOpen Market Sale1.7.2026566,955-40,000$30.23
KERR DEREK JGrant/Award from Employer25.6.20266,608+6,608
CLARE PETER JGrant/Award from Employer25.6.20266,608+6,608
Masiello Wendy MotlongGrant/Award from Employer25.6.20266,608+6,608
Newman Andrea FischerGrant/Award from Employer25.6.20266,608+6,608
Weingartner StefanGrant/Award from Employer25.6.20266,608+6,608
McElhinney PaulGrant/Award from Employer25.6.20266,608+6,608
KERR DEREK JExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.20267,354+6,011
KERR DEREK JExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.20260-6,011
CLARE PETER JExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.202613,302+6,011
CLARE PETER JExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.20260-6,011
Masiello Wendy MotlongExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.202635,525+6,011
Masiello Wendy MotlongExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.20260-6,011
Newman Andrea FischerExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.202673,990+6,011
Newman Andrea FischerExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.20260-6,011
Weingartner StefanExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.202626,150+6,011
Weingartner StefanExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.20260-6,011
McElhinney PaulExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.2026287,542+6,011
McElhinney PaulExercise of Derivative Securities12.6.20260-6,011
McElhinney PaulGrant/Award from Employer1.6.2026182,748+182,748
McElhinney PaulGrant/Award from Employer1.6.2026548,245+548,245
Ford Russell WayneOpen Market Sale16.4.202614,342-10,638$27.36

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-20.5%

18,679,216 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 23,502,680 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+24.6%

59.0% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 47.4% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 5 positive, 6 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 11 articles.