🎉 Free to use until Sep 16, 2026 — try it out for our launch!
STOCKIQAISTOCKIQAI
עברית
S&P 5007,709.96▼ 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1▼ 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35▼ 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55▼ 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.28▲ 0.86%
TA-125₪4,050.34▲ 0.44%
S&P 5007,709.96▼ 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1▼ 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35▼ 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55▼ 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.28▲ 0.86%
TA-125₪4,050.34▲ 0.44%

KMT

Kennametal Inc. Common Stock

Industrials · ·

$33.85

▼ $0.31 (-0.9%)

Market Cap

$2.58B

Day Range

$33.15 - $34.51

52-Week Range

$19.78 - $43.81

Beta

—

Next Earnings

03.11.2026

KMT is a stock from the Industrials sector — Manufacturing, aerospace, defense, and infrastructure — closely tied to capital-investment cycles and economic growth.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

A

Agilent Technologies, Inc.

AA

Alcoa Corporation

AADX

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.

+64.0% (1Y)

Investor Score
39/ 100F
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈26FTechnical
💰47D+Fundamental
🚀26FGrowth
💎38FValuation
📰56CNews
🏦58CQuality
⚠️48D+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 2.46
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 2.46

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $22.42 vs. price $33.85 (-33.8%)
  • 🔴 ATR: 5.2% of price
  • 🔴 Revenue growth (last year): -3.9%
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -12.4%
  • 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -29.6%

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟡 Mixed

Everyone's writing about Kennametal Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 56. Reason: 5 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 4 negative.

🟡 Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — SeekingAlpha🟢 Kennametal (NYSE:KMT) Shares Jump on Record Quarterly Earnings Beat — ChartMill🟢 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session — Benzinga

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 252 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (1 bullish · 8 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSI — RSI 45.8 — weak/negative bias
  • 🔴Stochastic — %K 8.8 — oversold
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 14.7 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -26.8% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴Bollinger Bands — Price is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (26%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: -2.0%
  • 🔴Parabolic SAR — Price is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟡CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.04

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Distribution

A pattern consistent with an early/mid distribution phase — a trading range after an advance with declining volume.

Medium confidence

$31.72

Range Bottom

$41.12

Range Top

50

Trading Days in Range

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟡Trading range identified — The stock is trading in a 29.6% range (between 31.72 and 41.12) over 50 trading days.
  • 🔴The range follows an uptrend — Under the Wyckoff method, a trading range following an advance is a natural candidate for a Distribution phase — smart money selling to the last buyers.
  • 🟢Trading volume in the range is declining — Declining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟡 Range

The price is oscillating around the 200-day average with no clear direction — the method recommends great caution here (buying at the bottom of the range / selling at the top) or avoiding trading altogether.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

In a range, the method doesn't give a single directional stop point — the market currently lacks a clear direction, consider waiting for a breakout from the range.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

30.4%

Operating Margin

7.3%

Net Margin

4.7%

EBITDA Margin

14.2%

Efficiency

ROE

7.3%

ROA

3.7%

ROIC

—

EPS

$1.21

Balance Sheet

Cash

$140.54M

Total Debt

—

Current Ratio

2.46

Debt/Equity

—

Conclusions

  • 🟡Gross margin — Gross margin: 30.4% — reasonable
  • 🔴Operating margin — Operating margin: 7.3% — weak
  • 🔴Net margin — Net margin: 4.7% — weak
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 7.3% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 3.7% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 2.46

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): -3.9%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -12.4%
  • 🔴Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: -29.6%
  • 🔴Net income growth — Net income growth: -14.8%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
12.5.2026$0.200
10.2.2026$0.200
10.11.2025$0.200
12.8.2025$0.200
13.5.2025$0.200
11.2.2025$0.200
12.11.2024$0.200
13.8.2024$0.200
13.5.2024$0.200
12.2.2024$0.200
6.11.2023$0.200
7.8.2023$0.200

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$33.85

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$22.42

Gap

-33.8%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

-0.7%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
1-0.7%$118.50M$108.71M
20.1%$118.60M$99.82M
30.9%$119.66M$92.40M
41.7%$121.69M$86.21M
52.5%$124.73M$81.07M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$119.35M

Terminal Value

$1.97B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$1.28B

Enterprise Value

$1.75B

Net Debt

$0

Equity Value

$1.75B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$16.48

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$11.99

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $22.42 vs. price $33.85 (-33.8%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $11.99
  • 🟡P/E — P/E: 28.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 7 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Cole Amanda MarieGrant/Award from Employer1.8.20262,944+2,944—
Cole Amanda MarieGrant/Award from Employer1.8.20268,832+5,888—
Hamadi FaisalExercise of Derivative Securities31.7.202624,128+9,917$33.97
Hamadi FaisalTax Withholding in Shares31.7.202619,532-4,596$33.97
Hamadi FaisalExercise of Derivative Securities31.7.20260-9,917—
Bacchus Judith LOpen Market Sale15.6.20264,554-5,488$35.94
Patel Sagar AOpen Market Sale8.6.20260-29,499$33.50
Reilly Carlonda R.Open Market Sale2.6.202625,143-12,013$33.12
DIETRICH DOUGLAS TGrant/Award from Employer26.5.202611,307+697$36.94
Bausch Shelley JGrant/Award from Employer26.5.202611,242+575$36.94
Bausch Shelley JGrant/Award from Employer26.5.202611,242+575$36.94
Reilly Carlonda R.Open Market Sale9.3.202638,746-13,410$36.31
Reilly Carlonda R.Gift9.3.202637,156-1,590—
DIETRICH DOUGLAS TGrant/Award from Employer24.2.202610,603+642$40.10
Bausch Shelley JGrant/Award from Employer24.2.2026652+530$40.10
Witt John WayneOpen Market Sale19.2.20261,634-5,060$38.29
LAMBERT WILLIAM MExercise of Derivative Securities18.2.202684,477+14,000$20.87
LAMBERT WILLIAM MTax Withholding in Shares18.2.202676,992-7,485$39.04
LAMBERT WILLIAM MExercise of Derivative Securities18.2.20260-14,000—
Reilly Carlonda R.Gift18.2.202652,156-2,500—
Bacchus Judith LOpen Market Sale11.2.202610,042-39,051$40.23
Keating Michelle ROpen Market Sale11.2.202622,310-24,617$40.22
DIETRICH DOUGLAS TExercise of Derivative Securities30.1.2026841+841$34.39
DIETRICH DOUGLAS TTax Withholding in Shares30.1.2026816-25$34.39
DIETRICH DOUGLAS TExercise of Derivative Securities30.1.20261,682-841—

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↑+14.2%

5,839,160 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 5,111,458 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↑+12.9%

60.5% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 53.6% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 5 positive, 11 neutral, 4 negative out of the last 20 articles.