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HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc.

Finance · ·

$39.34

▼ $0.44 (-1.1%)

Market Cap

$2.25B

Day Range

$39.29 - $39.90

52-Week Range

$30.25 - $40.41

Beta

—

Next Earnings

—

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

AAMI

Acadian Asset Management Inc.

ABCB

Ameris Bancorp

ABX

Abacus Global Management, Inc.

+30.8% (1Y)

Investor Score
65/ 100B-
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈79B+Technical
💰50C-Fundamental
🚀66B-Growth
💎50C-Valuation
📰100A+News
🏦55CQuality
⚠️56CRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 51.7%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 46.3%
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.31
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 CMF 20 days: -0.05
  • 🔴 %K 80.5 — overbought
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): 7.6% — weak
  • 🔴 Return on assets (ROA): 1.0% — weak

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Hilltop Holdings Inc.. News trend score: 100. Reason: 13 of the last 16 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

🟡 HTH: What does Argus have to say about HTH? — Argus Research🟡 3 Stocks Under $50 with Open Questions — StockStory🟢 Hilltop Holdings (HTH) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy? — Zacks

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (8 bullish · 2 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSI — RSI 58.4 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🔴Stochastic — %K 80.5 — overbought
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 19.2 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — +0.6% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (83%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 4.0%
  • 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.05

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Low confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trend — A 5.4% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
  • 🔴Divergence between price and cumulative money flow (A/D Line) — Price and the cumulative Accumulation/Distribution Line are moving in opposite directions — a classic Wyckoff sign that the move isn't backed by real money, and may be less stable than it looks.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$39.78

Stop-Loss

$34.92

Risk per Share

$4.86

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$49.50

1:3 R

$54.36

1:5 R

$64.09

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

20 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

—

Operating Margin

—

Net Margin

—

EBITDA Margin

—

Efficiency

ROE

7.6%

ROA

1.0%

ROIC

—

EPS

$2.64

Balance Sheet

Cash

$1.25B

Total Debt

$676.88M

Current Ratio

—

Debt/Equity

0.31

Conclusions

  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 7.6% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 1.0% — weak
  • 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.31

🚀 Growth

Revenue

אין נתונים היסטוריים זמינים.

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

אין נתונים היסטוריים זמינים.

Conclusions

  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 51.7%
  • 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 46.3%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
8.5.2026$0.200
13.2.2026$0.200
7.11.2025$0.180
15.8.2025$0.180
8.5.2025$0.180
13.2.2025$0.180
8.11.2024$0.170
16.8.2024$0.170
9.5.2024$0.170
9.2.2024$0.170
10.11.2023$0.160
10.8.2023$0.160

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Not enough cash-flow data to calculate a DCF model for this stock.

Book Value per Share

$34.58

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$30.22

Conclusions

  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $30.22
  • 🟡P/E — P/E: 15.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 4 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Bobbitt Rhodes ROpen Market Sale5.8.2026455-455$40.25
Bobbitt Rhodes ROpen Market Sale4.8.202610,000-10,000$40.25
Bobbitt Rhodes ROpen Market Sale4.8.202610,000-10,000$40.00
Bobbitt Rhodes ROpen Market Sale3.8.202612,100-12,100$40.00
Russell Kenneth DGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
Bober Dana LGrant/Award from Employer23.7.2026291+291$38.14
Bober Dana LGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20265,244+5,244—
Haworth Stephen HGrant/Award from Employer23.7.2026291+291$38.14
Haworth Stephen HGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20265,244+5,244—
SOBEL JONATHAN SGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
Bobbitt Rhodes RGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
CRANDALL J TAYLORGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
Lewis LeeGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
NICHOLS TOM CGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
Nichols W Robert IIIGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
Taylor Robert JRGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
WEBB CARL BGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20261,180+1,180$38.14
SOBEL JONATHAN SGrant/Award from Employer23.7.2026129,796+1,180$38.14
CRANDALL J TAYLORGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20262,137+1,180$38.14
WEBB CARL BGrant/Award from Employer23.7.2026132,078+1,180$38.14
Bobbitt Rhodes RGrant/Award from Employer23.7.202688,196+1,180$38.14
NICHOLS TOM CGrant/Award from Employer23.7.202616,317+1,180$38.14
Nichols W Robert IIIGrant/Award from Employer23.7.20262,195+1,180$38.14
Lewis LeeGrant/Award from Employer23.7.202654,919+1,180$38.14
Taylor Robert JRGrant/Award from Employer23.7.202646,470+1,180$38.14

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↑+13.1%

2,140,406 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 1,892,643 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↓-19.3%

44.1% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 54.7% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 13 positive, 3 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 16 articles.