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EXP

Eagle Materials Inc Common Stock

Industrials · ·

$211.34

$6.93 (-3.2%)

Market Cap

$6.48B

Day Range

$210.09 - $218.18

52-Week Range

$171.99 - $245.53

Beta

Next Earnings

28.10.2026

EXP is a stock from the Industrials sectorManufacturing, aerospace, defense, and infrastructure — closely tied to capital-investment cycles and economic growth.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

-5.8% (1Y)

Investor Score
50/ 100C-
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈35FTechnical
💰71BFundamental
🚀34FGrowth
💎38FValuation
📰74BNews
🏦58CQuality
⚠️56CRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Return on equity (ROE): 28.7% — strong
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 3.66
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢 Net margin: 18.4% — strong

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $51.18 vs. price $211.34 (-75.8%)
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -4.4%
  • 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -44.1%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -8.5%
  • 🔴 Price is below the 50-day average

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟡 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟡 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Eagle Materials Inc Common Stock. News trend score: 74. Reason: 6 of the last 16 articles are positive, versus 2 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (2 bullish · 6 bearish · 3 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 49.2 — weak/negative bias
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 49.4 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 10.7 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-7.4% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 3.1%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟡CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.03

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Low confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trendA -1.6% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
  • 🔴Divergence between price and cumulative money flow (A/D Line)Price and the cumulative Accumulation/Distribution Line are moving in opposite directions — a classic Wyckoff sign that the move isn't backed by real money, and may be less stable than it looks.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟡 Range

The price is oscillating around the 200-day average with no clear direction — the method recommends great caution here (buying at the bottom of the range / selling at the top) or avoiding trading altogether.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

In a range, the method doesn't give a single directional stop point — the market currently lacks a clear direction, consider waiting for a breakout from the range.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

28.3%

Operating Margin

Net Margin

18.4%

EBITDA Margin

Efficiency

ROE

28.7%

ROA

11.0%

ROIC

EPS

$13.24

Balance Sheet

Cash

$297.92M

Total Debt

$1.76B

Current Ratio

3.66

Debt/Equity

1.19

Conclusions

  • 🟡Gross marginGross margin: 28.3% — reasonable
  • 🟢Net marginNet margin: 18.4% — strong
  • 🟢Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 28.7% — strong
  • 🟢Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 11.0% — strong
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 3.66
  • 🟡Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 1.19

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 2.1%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -4.4%
  • 🔴Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: -44.1%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -8.5%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
15.6.2026$0.250
16.3.2026$0.250
15.12.2025$0.250
15.9.2025$0.250
16.6.2025$0.250
17.3.2025$0.250
16.12.2024$0.250
17.9.2024$0.250
17.6.2024$0.250
14.3.2024$0.250
14.12.2023$0.250
14.9.2023$0.250

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$211.34

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$51.18

Gap

-75.8%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

2.5%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
12.5%$202.27M$185.57M
22.5%$207.26M$174.45M
32.5%$212.39M$164.01M
42.5%$217.68M$154.21M
52.5%$223.12M$145.01M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$197.43M

Terminal Value

$3.52B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$2.29B

Enterprise Value

$3.11B

Net Debt

$1.46B

Equity Value

$1.65B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$45.81

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$31.19

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $51.18 vs. price $211.34 (-75.8%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $31.19
  • 🟡P/EP/E: 16.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 4 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Carter Margot LebenbergOpen Market Sale3.8.20266,757-561$212.35
Carter Margot LebenbergOpen Market Sale31.7.202611,494-478$204.00
Carter Margot LebenbergOpen Market Sale31.7.20268,977-2,517$203.57
Carter Margot LebenbergOpen Market Sale31.7.20267,318-1,659$204.56
Carter Margot LebenbergGrant/Award from Employer30.7.202611,972+1,400
NICOLAIS MICHAEL RGrant/Award from Employer30.7.202654,411+1,549
NICOLAIS MICHAEL RGrant/Award from Employer30.7.20261,341+1,341
ELLEN MARTIN MGrant/Award from Employer30.7.202611,511+1,400
BECKWITT RICHARDGrant/Award from Employer30.7.202626,801+1,400
RICCIARDELLO MARY PGrant/Award from Employer30.7.202610,932+955
RICCIARDELLO MARY PGrant/Award from Employer30.7.2026827+827
Damiris George JohnGrant/Award from Employer30.7.202610,389+1,273
Rush David EGrant/Award from Employer30.7.20265,446+1,273
Gregorio MauroGrant/Award from Employer30.7.20262,446+1,273
NICOLAIS MICHAEL RGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20264,001+5
Kesler Dale CraigGrant/Award from Employer20.7.2026953+1
Kesler Dale CraigGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20261,647+2
Kesler Dale CraigGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20261,760+2
Haack MichaelGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20263,990+5
Haack MichaelGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20267,060+9
Haack MichaelGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20267,542+9
Guzman SamGrant/Award from Employer20.7.2026692+1
Guzman SamGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20261,248+2
Newby MattGrant/Award from Employer20.7.2026599+1
Newby MattGrant/Award from Employer20.7.20261,118+1

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-0.8%

1,959,858 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 1,974,859 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-3.9%

72.1% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 75.0% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 6 positive, 8 neutral, 2 negative out of the last 16 articles.