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EXLS

ExlService Holdings Inc. Common Stock

Consumer Discretionary · ·

$34.66

▲ $0.98 (+2.9%)

Market Cap

$5.30B

Day Range

$33.33 - $34.71

52-Week Range

$24.85 - $45.08

Beta

—

Next Earnings

26.10.2026

EXLS is a stock from the Consumer Cyclical sector — Retail, automotive, and leisure — demand rises and falls with economic sentiment and consumers' disposable income.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

AAL

American Airlines Group, Inc.

ABLV

Able View Global Inc.

ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.

-21.2% (1Y)

Investor Score
74/ 100B
🟢 Strong

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈84A-Technical
💰74BFundamental
🚀79B+Growth
💎50C-Valuation
📰100A+News
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️54C-Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟢 Bullish

Technical Trend

🟢 Bullish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 27.3%
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 34.1%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 26.6%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Return on equity (ROE): 27.5% — strong

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 ATR: 4.4% of price
  • 🔴 Price is below the 200-day average

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about ExlService Holdings Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 100. Reason: 13 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

🟢 ExlService Holdings (NASDAQ:EXLS): Growth at a Reasonable Price — ChartMill🟡 EXLS: Raising target price to $38.00 — Argus Research🟢 Innodata Before Q2 Earnings: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock? — Yahoo

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (10 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSI — RSI 64.9 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic — %K 74.7 — neutral range
  • 🟢ADX (trend strength) — ADX 26.1 — strong trend
  • 🟢Volume trend — Rising volume supports the price advance
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — +3.0% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (81%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 19.5%
  • 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.14

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

High confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trend — A 16.3% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟡 Range

The price is oscillating around the 200-day average with no clear direction — the method recommends great caution here (buying at the bottom of the range / selling at the top) or avoiding trading altogether.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

In a range, the method doesn't give a single directional stop point — the market currently lacks a clear direction, consider waiting for a breakout from the range.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

38.4%

Operating Margin

15.0%

Net Margin

12.0%

EBITDA Margin

17.9%

Efficiency

ROE

27.5%

ROA

14.7%

ROIC

—

EPS

$1.56

Balance Sheet

Cash

$146.33M

Total Debt

$298.60M

Current Ratio

2.56

Debt/Equity

0.33

Conclusions

  • 🟡Gross margin — Gross margin: 38.4% — reasonable
  • 🟡Operating margin — Operating margin: 15.0% — reasonable
  • 🟡Net margin — Net margin: 12.0% — reasonable
  • 🟢Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 27.5% — strong
  • 🟢Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 14.7% — strong
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 2.56
  • 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.33

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 13.6%
  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 27.3%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 34.1%
  • 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 26.6%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$34.66

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$36.32

Gap

+4.8%

🟢 Appears cheap relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

13.9%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
113.9%$339.64M$311.59M
211.1%$377.24M$317.51M
38.2%$408.22M$315.22M
45.4%$430.09M$304.69M
52.5%$440.84M$286.52M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$298.12M

Terminal Value

$6.95B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$4.52B

Enterprise Value

$6.05B

Net Debt

$152.27M

Equity Value

$5.90B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$5.62

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$2.81

Conclusions

  • 🟡DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $36.32 vs. price $34.66 (+4.8%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $2.81
  • 🟡P/E — P/E: 21.9

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 4 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Mehta Kamini HGrant/Award from Employer16.7.20267,705+7,705—
Bhalla VikasOpen Market Sale1.7.2026141,295-12,000$26.47
Jetley VivekGrant/Award from Employer30.6.2026426,780+606$23.27
Nicolelli MaurizioGrant/Award from Employer30.6.2026254,975+606$23.27
Kini NarasimhaGrant/Award from Employer30.6.2026212,354+606$23.27
PANDIT VIKRAM SGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202684,378+11,293—
Fibig AndreasGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202628,427+7,871—
Pipes KristyGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202643,362+7,871—
Geraghty PatrickGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202611,631+7,871—
Bartlett Thomas AGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202621,885+7,871—
Williamson Sarah KGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202630,919+7,871—
Williamson Sarah KGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202632,631+1,712—
Williamson Sarah KGrant/Award from Employer16.6.202634,342+1,711—
Kapoor RohitOther Transaction15.6.2026457,214-865,000—
Kapoor RohitOther Transaction15.6.2026865,000+865,000—
Bhalla VikasOpen Market Sale4.6.2026153,295-12,000$30.22
AYYAPPAN AJAYOpen Market Sale20.5.202648,994-5,093$29.11
Singh BhupenderGrant/Award from Employer11.5.202677,170+77,170—
AYYAPPAN AJAYOpen Market Sale2.3.202654,087-1,679$30.39
Kapoor RohitExercise of Derivative Securities28.2.20261,322,214+33,525—
Kapoor RohitExercise of Derivative Securities28.2.202667,050-33,525—
Kini NarasimhaExercise of Derivative Securities27.2.2026214,601+5,587—
Kini NarasimhaTax Withholding in Shares27.2.2026211,748-2,853$30.99
Kini NarasimhaExercise of Derivative Securities27.2.202611,174-5,587—
Chhibbar VishalExercise of Derivative Securities27.2.202614,540+5,587—

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↓-4.2%

12,022,753 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 12,544,402 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↑+20.6%

48.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 40.4% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 13 positive, 7 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 20 articles.