CNXN

Conclusions

• 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
• 🟢Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is above the 200-day average
• 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
• 🔴RSI — RSI 74.2 — approaching overbought territory
• 🟡Stochastic — %K 77.6 — neutral range
• 🟢ADX (trend strength) — ADX 44.3 — strong trend
• 🟢Volume trend — Rising volume supports the price advance
• 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — +26.8% over the last 3 months relative to the index
• 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (91%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
• 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 7.7%
• 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
• 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.12

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

Conclusions

• 🔴Gross margin — Gross margin: 18.8% — weak
• 🔴Operating margin — Operating margin: 3.5% — weak
• 🔴Net margin — Net margin: 2.9% — weak
• 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 9.2% — weak
• 🟡Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 6.2% — reasonable
• 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 2.90

Conclusions

• 🟡Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 2.5%
• 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -0.6%
• 🔴Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: -65.1%
• 🔴Net income growth — Net income growth: -3.9%

Conclusions

• 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $31.65 vs. price $86.60 (-63.4%)
• 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $32.60
• 🟡P/E — P/E: 26.3