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ATYR

Atyr Pharma Inc.

· · NASDAQ

$0.50

$0.03 (-5.1%)

Market Cap

$49.22M

Day Range

$0.49 - $0.53

52-Week Range

$0.40 - $6.50

Beta

Next Earnings

12.08.2026

-90.1% (1Y)

Investor Score
44/ 100D
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈49D+Technical
💰30FFundamental
🚀45D+Growth
💎43DValuation
📰56CNews
🏦42DQuality
⚠️48D+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🟡 Mixed

Insiders

🟡 Mixed

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Current ratio: 5.30
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢 RSI 52.8 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 10.3%

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: -$8.82 vs. price $0.50 (-1856.6%)
  • 🔴 Operating margin: -40856.3% (negative)
  • 🔴 Net margin: -39009.5% (negative)
  • 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
  • 🔴 ATR: 7.8% of price

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟡 Mixed

Everyone's writing about Atyr Pharma Inc.. News trend score: 56. Reason: 1 of the last 1 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟡 Indicators are mixed — no clear bias (5 bullish · 6 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 52.8 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 92.4 — overbought
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 11.9 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-41.9% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (73%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 8.8%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.14

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trendA 9.3% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$0.53

Stop-Loss

$0.74

Risk per Share

$0.21

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$0.10

1:3 R

-$0.11

1:5 R

-$0.53

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

470 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

-40856.3%

Net Margin

-39009.5%

EBITDA Margin

-40506.8%

Efficiency

ROE

-109.8%

ROA

-79.7%

ROIC

EPS

-$0.80

Balance Sheet

Cash

$10.74M

Total Debt

Current Ratio

5.30

Debt/Equity

Conclusions

  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: -40856.3% (negative)
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: -39009.5% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): -109.8% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): -79.7% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 5.30

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): -19.1%
  • 🟡Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: 7.0%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 10.3%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -15.8%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$0.50

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

-$8.82

Gap

-1856.6%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

-5.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
1-5.0%$-58.96M$-54.09M
2-3.1%$-57.12M$-48.07M
3-1.2%$-56.40M$-43.55M
40.6%$-56.76M$-40.21M
52.5%$-58.17M$-37.81M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$-62.06M

Terminal Value

$-917.37M

Present Value of Terminal Value

$-596.23M

Enterprise Value

$-819.97M

Net Debt

$0

Equity Value

$-819.97M

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$0.73

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$0.73

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: -$8.82 vs. price $0.50 (-1856.6%)
  • 🟢Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $0.73
  • 🟡P/EP/E: -0.7

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 3 purchases and 3 sales out of the last 21 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
SCHIMMEL PAULOpen Market Purchase27.5.2026779,143+100,000$0.50
SCHIMMEL PAULGrant/Award from Employer11.5.202650,000+50,000
Coughlin TimothyGrant/Award from Employer11.5.202650,000+50,000
Zaknoen SaraGrant/Award from Employer11.5.202650,000+50,000
BENEVICH ERICGrant/Award from Employer11.5.202650,000+50,000
Gross Jane AGrant/Award from Employer11.5.202650,000+50,000
Lucas SvetlanaGrant/Award from Employer11.5.202650,000+50,000
Broadfoot Jill MarieOpen Market Sale4.2.202637,296-1,558$0.98
DENYES NANCYOpen Market Sale4.2.202633,124-1,118$0.98
Shukla SanjayOpen Market Sale4.2.2026153,553-3,745$0.98
Broadfoot Jill MarieExercise of Derivative Securities3.2.202638,854+3,750
Broadfoot Jill MarieExercise of Derivative Securities3.2.20260-3,750
DENYES NANCYExercise of Derivative Securities3.2.202634,242+2,687
DENYES NANCYExercise of Derivative Securities3.2.20260-2,687
Shukla SanjayExercise of Derivative Securities3.2.2026157,298+10,375
Shukla SanjayExercise of Derivative Securities3.2.20260-10,375
Broadfoot Jill MarieGrant/Award from Employer9.1.2026412,500+412,500
DENYES NANCYGrant/Award from Employer9.1.2026412,500+412,500
Shukla SanjayGrant/Award from Employer9.1.20261,500,000+1,500,000
SCHIMMEL PAULOpen Market Purchase9.10.20251,413,023+317,999$0.94
SCHIMMEL PAULOpen Market Purchase8.10.20251,095,024+682,001$0.90

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-42.9%

8,277,406 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 14,505,076 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-2.3%

38.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 39.6% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 1 positive, 0 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 1 articles.