REalloys Inc. Common Stock (ALOY) Stock Analysis — Score 43/100

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Investor Score

43/ 100D

🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈52C-Technical

💰26FFundamental

🚀32FGrowth

💎50C-Valuation

📰62C+News

🏦42DQuality

⚠️34FRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🟡 Mixed

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
🟢 RSI 52.3 — healthy positive momentum
🟢 Gross margin: 48.0% — strong
🟢 Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
🟢 Rising volume supports the price advance

⚠️ What's concerning?

🔴 Operating margin: -165.7% (negative)
🔴 Net margin: -182.1% (negative)
🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
🔴 ATR: 12.2% of price
🔴 Current ratio: 0.02

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🔴 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)

🟡 Mixed

Everyone's writing about REalloys Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 62. Reason: 2 of the last 5 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

🟡 Guardian Metal Resources Names 20-Year Mining Veteran Jake Mather As CFO Effective March 26, 2026 — Benzinga 🟢 Shares of rare-earth mineral and critical metals stocks are trading higher amid continued strength after President Trump announced plans to launch a $12 billion strategic critical-minerals stockpile. The venture, 'Project Vault,' is designed to counter China's dominance over rare earth elements. — Benzinga 🟡 Needham Maintains Buy on REalloys, Lowers Price Target to $16 — Benzinga

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟡 Indicators are mixed — no clear bias (6 bullish · 5 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

🔴Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is below the 50-day average
🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
🟢RSI — RSI 52.3 — healthy positive momentum
🔴Stochastic — %K 85.4 — overbought
🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 21.1 — weak trend/choppy
🟢Volume trend — Rising volume supports the price advance
🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -2.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (75%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 18.8%
🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
🔴CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.20

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

🟢Rising price trend — A 13.0% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟡 Range

The price is oscillating around the 200-day average with no clear direction — the method recommends great caution here (buying at the bottom of the range / selling at the top) or avoiding trading altogether.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

In a range, the method doesn't give a single directional stop point — the market currently lacks a clear direction, consider waiting for a breakout from the range.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

48.0%

Operating Margin

-165.7%

Net Margin

-182.1%

EBITDA Margin

-165.5%

Efficiency

ROE

-78.2%

ROA

-51.0%

ROIC

—

EPS

-$1.17

Balance Sheet

Cash

—

Total Debt

—

Current Ratio

0.02

Debt/Equity

—

Conclusions

🟢Gross margin — Gross margin: 48.0% — strong
🔴Operating margin — Operating margin: -165.7% (negative)
🔴Net margin — Net margin: -182.1% (negative)
🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): -78.2% (negative)
🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): -51.0% — weak
🔴Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 0.02

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

🔴Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): -5.3%
🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -13.6%
🔴Net income growth — Net income growth: -27.5%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Not enough cash-flow data to calculate a DCF model for this stock.

Book Value per Share

$1.49

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$1.49

Conclusions

🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $1.49
🟡P/E — P/E: -9.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 4 sales out of the last 6 filings.

Name	Transaction Type	Date	Shares	Change	Price
KEPLER GUST	Exercise of Derivative Securities	14.4.2026	964,218	+550,000	—
KEPLER GUST	Conversion of Derivative Security	14.4.2026	1,084,999	-550,000	—
KEPLER GUST	Open Market Sale	17.3.2026	414,218	-62,000	$12.89
KEPLER GUST	Open Market Sale	16.3.2026	476,218	-71,000	$11.01
KEPLER GUST	Open Market Sale	13.3.2026	547,218	-49,000	$12.31
KEPLER GUST	Open Market Sale	24.2.2026	1,634,999	-1,634,999	—

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↓-19.5%

5,998,374 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 7,447,763 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↓-12.8%

63.3% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 72.6% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 2 positive, 3 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 5 articles.