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ABTC

American Bitcoin Corp. Class A Common Stock

Technology · ·

$6.19

$0.35 (-5.4%)

Market Cap

$512.55M

Day Range

$6.09 - $6.42

52-Week Range

$4.92 - $217.80

Beta

Next Earnings

12.11.2026

ABTC is a stock from the Technology sectorSoftware, hardware, chip, and computing-services companies — revenue tied to the pace of innovation and upgrade cycles.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

-93.0% (1Y)

Investor Score
41/ 100D
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈35FTechnical
💰26FFundamental
🚀46D+Growth
💎50C-Valuation
📰56CNews
🏦58CQuality
⚠️34FRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🟢 Bullish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 158.8%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢 Gross margin: 50.3% — strong
  • 🟢 Price is above the SAR point — uptrend

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Operating margin: -123.1% (negative)
  • 🔴 Net margin: -82.7% (negative)
  • 🔴 ATR: 11.7% of price
  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.08
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -23.0% (negative)

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🔴 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟡 Mixed

Everyone's writing about American Bitcoin Corp. Class A Common Stock. News trend score: 56. Reason: 5 of the last 16 articles are positive, versus 4 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 252 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (3 bullish · 7 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 42.4 — weak/negative bias
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 77.5 — neutral range
  • 🔴ADX (trend strength)ADX 34.7 — strong trend
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-71.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (79%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -3.2%
  • 🟢Parabolic SARPrice is above the SAR point — uptrend
  • 🟡CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.00

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trendA -61.0% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$6.26

Stop-Loss

$17.68

Risk per Share

$11.42

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

-$16.58

1:3 R

-$28.00

1:5 R

-$50.84

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

8 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

50.3%

Operating Margin

-123.1%

Net Margin

-82.7%

EBITDA Margin

-91.7%

Efficiency

ROE

-23.0%

ROA

-12.3%

ROIC

EPS

-$0.17

Balance Sheet

Cash

$3.82M

Total Debt

Current Ratio

0.08

Debt/Equity

Conclusions

  • 🟢Gross marginGross margin: 50.3% — strong
  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: -123.1% (negative)
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: -82.7% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): -23.0% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): -12.3% — weak
  • 🔴Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 0.08

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 158.8%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -134.7%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -135.7%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Not enough cash-flow data to calculate a DCF model for this stock.

Book Value per Share

$0.74

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$0.56

Conclusions

  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $0.56
  • 🟡P/EP/E: -36.8

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 9 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 24 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Mateen JustinGrant/Award from Employer29.7.202646,404+46,404
Busch RichardGrant/Award from Employer29.7.202646,404+46,404
Broukhim MichaelGrant/Award from Employer29.7.202649,304+49,304
Busch RichardOther Transaction24.6.20261,848,975-254,778
Mateen JustinExercise of Derivative Securities22.6.20262,779,753+254,778
Mateen JustinExercise of Derivative Securities22.6.20260-254,778
Broukhim MichaelExercise of Derivative Securities22.6.2026270,701+270,701
Broukhim MichaelExercise of Derivative Securities22.6.20260-270,701
Busch RichardExercise of Derivative Securities22.6.20262,103,753+254,778
Busch RichardExercise of Derivative Securities22.6.20260-254,778
Busch RichardOpen Market Purchase15.6.20261,848,975+450,000$0.87
Busch RichardOpen Market Purchase5.3.20261,398,975+68,000$1.15
Busch RichardOpen Market Purchase4.3.20261,330,975+90,000$1.15
Mateen JustinOpen Market Purchase3.3.20262,524,975+1,800,000$1.03
Busch RichardOpen Market Purchase3.3.20261,240,975+240,000$0.96
Mateen JustinGrant/Award from Employer24.2.2026254,778+254,778
Broukhim MichaelGrant/Award from Employer24.2.2026270,701+270,701
Busch RichardGrant/Award from Employer24.2.2026254,778+254,778
Prusak MatthewGrant/Award from Employer24.2.2026477,708+477,708
Ho MichaelOpen Market Purchase30.12.202523,199,205+23,199,205$1.40
Genoot AsherOpen Market Purchase30.12.202523,199,205+23,199,205$1.40
Busch RichardOpen Market Purchase22.12.20251,000,975+101,000$1.98
Busch RichardOpen Market Purchase16.12.2025899,975+175,000$1.66
Broukhim MichaelOther Transaction5.12.202513,386+13,386

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-90.5%

2,428,366 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 25,690,064 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+18.6%

66.8% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 56.3% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 5 positive, 7 neutral, 4 negative out of the last 16 articles.