🎉 Free to use until Sep 16, 2026 — try it out for our launch!
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.25 0.66%
TA-125₪4,049.04 0.41%
S&P 5007,709.96 0.18%
Dow Jones53,885.1 0.85%
Nasdaq26,348.35 0.06%
Russell 20003,001.55 0.58%
Fear Index (VIX)15.25 0.66%
TA-125₪4,049.04 0.41%

ACHR

Archer Aviation Inc.

· · NYSE

$5.23

$0.03 (+0.6%)

Market Cap

$3.97B

Day Range

$5.08 - $5.36

52-Week Range

$4.30 - $14.62

Beta

Next Earnings

10.08.2026

-47.2% (1Y)

Investor Score
45/ 100D+
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈38FTechnical
💰36FFundamental
🚀46D+Growth
💎38FValuation
📰74BNews
🏦55CQuality
⚠️54C-Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 30.3%
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.04
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 19.89
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢 RSI 53.6 — healthy positive momentum

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: -$13.78 vs. price $5.23 (-363.5%)
  • 🔴 Operating margin: -243100.0% (negative)
  • 🔴 Net margin: -206066.7% (negative)
  • 🔴 ATR: 6.8% of price
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -28.1% (negative)

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Archer Aviation Inc.. News trend score: 74. Reason: 6 of the last 13 articles are positive, versus 2 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (3 bullish · 6 bearish · 3 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 53.6 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 69.2 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 15.2 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-15.7% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (80%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -2.1%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟡CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.04

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Low confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trendA -20.1% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
  • 🔴Divergence between price and cumulative money flow (A/D Line)Price and the cumulative Accumulation/Distribution Line are moving in opposite directions — a classic Wyckoff sign that the move isn't backed by real money, and may be less stable than it looks.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$5.20

Stop-Loss

$7.44

Risk per Share

$2.24

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$0.72

1:3 R

-$1.52

1:5 R

-$6.01

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

44 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

33.3%

Operating Margin

-243100.0%

Net Margin

-206066.7%

EBITDA Margin

-236433.3%

Efficiency

ROE

-28.1%

ROA

-25.1%

ROIC

EPS

-$0.99

Balance Sheet

Cash

$1.02B

Total Debt

$80.30M

Current Ratio

19.89

Debt/Equity

0.04

Conclusions

  • 🟡Gross marginGross margin: 33.3% — reasonable
  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: -243100.0% (negative)
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: -206066.7% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): -28.1% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): -25.1% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 19.89
  • 🟢Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.04

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: 30.3%
  • 🔴Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: -13.6%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -15.2%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$5.23

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

-$13.78

Gap

-363.5%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

10.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
110.0%$-562.87M$-516.39M
28.1%$-608.60M$-512.25M
36.3%$-646.64M$-499.33M
44.4%$-674.93M$-478.14M
52.5%$-691.80M$-449.63M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$-511.70M

Terminal Value

$-10.91B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$-7.09B

Enterprise Value

$-9.55B

Net Debt

$-941.20M

Equity Value

$-8.60B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$3.53

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$3.40

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: -$13.78 vs. price $5.23 (-363.5%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $3.40
  • 🟡P/EP/E: -5.3

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 7 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Lentell EricOpen Market Sale11.6.2026137,330-3,754$5.00
Muniz Thomas PaulOpen Market Sale18.5.20261,462,314-91,839$5.95
Lentell EricOpen Market Sale18.5.2026141,084-48,169$5.95
Gupta PriyaOpen Market Sale18.5.2026189,050-9,860$5.95
Rungta HarshOpen Market Sale18.5.202687,210-12,414$5.95
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.20261,574,617+143,750
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.20261,583,563+8,946
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.20261,591,174+7,611
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.20261,598,893+7,719
Muniz Thomas PaulOpen Market Sale15.5.20261,554,153-44,740$6.06
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.2026575,000-143,750
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.202662,618-8,946
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.202645,666-7,611
Muniz Thomas PaulExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.202677,181-7,719
Goldstein Adam DGrant/Award from Employer15.5.2026788,552+788,552
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.2026136,079+7,301
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.2026158,945+22,866
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.2026178,741+19,796
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.2026187,687+8,946
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.2026213,783+26,096
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.2026229,220+15,437
Lentell EricOpen Market Sale15.5.2026189,253-39,967$6.06
Lentell EricGrant/Award from Employer15.5.202687,617+87,617
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.202680,316-7,301
Lentell EricExercise of Derivative Securities15.5.202622,866-22,866

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-12.3%

95,100,718 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 108,476,072 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-16.5%

46.0% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 55.1% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 6 positive, 5 neutral, 2 negative out of the last 13 articles.