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SNDR

Schneider National, Inc.

· · NYSE

$35.22

$1.31 (-3.6%)

Market Cap

Day Range

$35.09 - $36.44

52-Week Range

$20.11 - $39.27

Beta

Next Earnings

+47.1% (1Y)

Investor Score
50/ 100C-
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈45D+Technical
💰49D+Fundamental
🚀42DGrowth
💎33FValuation
📰98A+News
🏦47D+Quality
⚠️62C+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.13
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 2.13
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢 RSI 51.1 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟢 +16.9% over the last 3 months relative to the index

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $20.63 vs. price $35.22 (-41.4%)
  • 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -10.6%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -11.5%
  • 🔴 Price is below the 50-day average

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Schneider National, Inc.. News trend score: 98. Reason: 10 of the last 19 articles are positive, versus 2 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (3 bullish · 5 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACDMACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 51.1 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 51.2 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 19.3 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500+16.9% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -2.5%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.22

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Distribution

A trading range after an advance, but still without clear (volume-based) confirmation of a distribution phase.

Low confidence

$33.57

Range Bottom

$39.27

Range Top

50

Trading Days in Range

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟡Trading range identifiedThe stock is trading in a 17.0% range (between 33.57 and 39.27) over 50 trading days.
  • 🔴The range follows an uptrendUnder the Wyckoff method, a trading range following an advance is a natural candidate for a Distribution phase — smart money selling to the last buyers.
  • 🟡Trading volume in the range is relatively stableThere's no clear sign yet of supply/demand being exhausted within the range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$36.53

Stop-Loss

$32.17

Risk per Share

$4.36

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$45.25

1:3 R

$49.61

1:5 R

$58.33

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

22 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

3.0%

Net Margin

1.8%

EBITDA Margin

10.9%

Efficiency

ROE

3.4%

ROA

2.1%

ROIC

EPS

$0.59

Balance Sheet

Cash

$201.50M

Total Debt

$397.00M

Current Ratio

2.13

Debt/Equity

0.13

Conclusions

  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: 3.0% — weak
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: 1.8% — weak
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 3.4% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 2.1% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 2.13
  • 🟢Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.13

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): 7.3%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -10.6%
  • 🟡Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 4.9%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -11.5%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
12.6.2026$0.100
13.3.2026$0.100
12.12.2025$0.095
12.9.2025$0.095
13.6.2025$0.095
14.3.2025$0.095
13.12.2024$0.095
13.9.2024$0.095
7.6.2024$0.095
7.3.2024$0.095
7.12.2023$0.090
7.9.2023$0.090

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$35.22

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$20.63

Gap

-41.4%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

-4.4%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
1-4.4%$272.77M$250.25M
2-2.7%$265.42M$223.40M
3-1.0%$262.87M$202.98M
40.8%$264.89M$187.66M
52.5%$271.51M$176.47M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$285.40M

Terminal Value

$4.28B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$2.78B

Enterprise Value

$3.82B

Net Debt

$195.50M

Equity Value

$3.63B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$17.20

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$14.86

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $20.63 vs. price $35.22 (-41.4%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $14.86
  • 🔴P/EP/E: 61.9

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 5 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
GIERTZ JAMES RGrant/Award from Employer10.7.202667,225+12$36.40
Filter James ScottGrant/Award from Employer1.7.2026205,926+14,767
Schneider Paul J.Gift24.6.2026433,719-3,665
Jackson Thomas GExercise of Derivative Securities10.6.202697,445+20,271$25.91
Jackson Thomas GOpen Market Sale10.6.202677,174-20,271$37.15
Jackson Thomas GExercise of Derivative Securities10.6.20260-20,271
Devgun ShaleenExercise of Derivative Securities8.6.202646,971+8,352$24.81
Devgun ShaleenOpen Market Sale8.6.202638,619-8,352$38.59
Devgun ShaleenExercise of Derivative Securities8.6.20260-8,352
DePrey Mary P.Gift27.5.2026589,373-25,173
Dumas Magnin Shelly AOpen Market Sale6.5.202624,697-2,425$30.90
Fish Angela MExercise of Derivative Securities5.5.202665,964+8,478$25.91
Fish Angela MOpen Market Sale5.5.202658,095-7,869$30.43
Fish Angela MExercise of Derivative Securities5.5.20260-8,478
Fish Angela MExercise of Derivative Securities4.5.202663,736+6,725$25.91
Fish Angela MOpen Market Sale4.5.202657,486-6,250$30.01
Fish Angela MExercise of Derivative Securities4.5.20268,478-6,725
Fish Angela MGrant/Award from Employer1.5.202657,011+636
Welch James LGrant/Award from Employer30.4.202657,703+5,468
KNIGHT ROBERT M JRGrant/Award from Employer30.4.202646,275+5,468
GIERTZ JAMES RGrant/Award from Employer30.4.202667,213+5,468
Swainson John AGrant/Award from Employer30.4.202652,231+5,468
DePrey Mary P.Grant/Award from Employer30.4.2026614,546+5,468
Schneider Paul J.Grant/Award from Employer30.4.2026437,384+5,468
Ramirez Austin MGrant/Award from Employer30.4.20265,468+5,468

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

+5.6%

5,789,268 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 5,482,227 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-1.2%

71.9% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 72.8% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 10 positive, 7 neutral, 2 negative out of the last 19 articles.