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Analyzing the stock…
70
Gathering technical, fundamental, and market data — a few seconds
Miscellaneous · ·
$0.61
▲ $0.08 (+15.8%)
Market data updated: 09/15 01:18 PM
Fundamentals updated: 09/15/2026
News analyzed: 09/15/2026
Market Cap
Not available
Day Range
$0.52 - $0.62
52-Week Range
$0.49 - $3.73
Beta
—
Next Earnings
02.11.2026
-50.9% (1Y)
Strengths: 17/32 factors positiveRisk: Medium
This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer
Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%
Overall Score
🟡 Mixed
Technical Trend
🟡 Mixed
Insiders
🔴 Bearish
Computed directly from the same signals behind the score above — not AI-generated.
Biggest positive driver
Revenue growth (last year)
Revenue growth (last year): 929.4%
Growth
Biggest negative driver
DCF Fair Value
Estimated fair value: -$4.63 vs. price $0.61 (-855.0%)
Fair Value
Signal tension
Growth scores strong (82/100), but fair-value analysis scores this stock as relatively expensive (38/100) — the growth story and the current price aren't fully aligned.
What to watch next
When today echoes the past.
NO RELIABLE ECHO FOUND
Only 2 historical analog(s) found after removing overlapping dates — too few for a statistically meaningful comparison.
Historical matches considered: 2
TIME ECHO identifies historical situations that resemble the current market state. Historical outcomes are not guarantees of future performance. Similarity does not imply causation, and results may change as new data becomes available.
🗓️ What Changed This Week
🌱 Building History
We don't have a real data point from a week ago for this stock yet. The weekly comparison will appear once enough history has accumulated.
📊 Score History
57
Today
—
30D
—
90D
—
1Y
🕰️ Signal Timeline
What StockIQ actually saw for this stock, and what happened after each signal — real data, not a forecast.
today · $0.61
Evidence: FOMO score jumped from 21 to 68 day-over-day
What happened after
Still awaiting outcome
🐂🐻 Investment Thesis
🐂 Bull Case
🐻 Bear Case
🔍 What Could Prove This Wrong
This isn't a price-direction forecast — just a synthesis of real, already-computed data, and future conditions that could change the picture.
🧬 STOCK DNA
This stock's profile across 8 real dimensions — a research tool, not a recommendation
Growth
82
Quality
63
Value
38
Momentum
57
Risk
46
Sentiment
80
Fundamental
39
Institutional
0
Stocks with a similar DNA right now
This stock hasn't been analyzed by StockIQAI's movement engine yet — coverage is still expanding. Check back soon.
Recent media coverage of SES AI Corporation has primarily focused on its strategic shifts and corporate developments. The company reported a 40% revenue growth to $5.1 million in Q2 2026, alongside progress in scaling its Korea facility to produce 1 million cells annually. Additionally, SES AI is transitioning into energy storage and drone markets while improving margins. Notably, the company is merging with GFL Environmental, leading to its removal from the S&P/TSX Composite Index, and has seen a stock rating upgrade to "Buy" amid optimism about earnings. The company also appointed Paul Diemer to its board and faced NYSE proceedings regarding the delisting of its warrants.
AI summary based on English-language news sources only — not investment advice.
Everyone's writing about SES AI Corporation. News trend score: 80. Reason: 7 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 2 negative.
News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer
🌡️ Emotional Temperature
58
🎯 Conviction (vs. Emotion)
72
Psychology
68
Fundamentals
39
Technical
57
Valuation
38
Price, volume, and sentiment accelerating together — a sign investors are chasing the price, not just following it.
A significant decline over time, but on unusually low trading volume — holders unwilling to accept the loss.
The price rise has far outpaced the actual improvement in fundamental data.
Extreme momentum, price far above its moving average, and a large premium over fair value.
A sharp drop, unusual volume, and negative news sentiment all at once — selling pressure that looks emotional.
Price (3M)
-41%
Market Narrative
73
Fundamental Reality
72
Narrative Gap
+1
🧠 StockIQ Psychologist
The market behavior suggests investors are heavily influenced by loss aversion, reflected in a 49.5% three‑month decline and low trading volume. While news sentiment is positive and price momentum is modest, technical indicators remain neutral, limiting optimism and keeping other biases modest. Confirmation bias and anchoring appear absent, and herding is low despite the stock’s outperformance versus peers. An open question is whether improving price momentum or volume could shift sentiment away from loss aversion. The narrative gap indicates reality perception is stronger than the narrative, reinforcing caution.
Updated: 09/09/2026, 04:54 AM
What could change this?
👥 What the crowd believes
"Revenue hit $5.1M with 40% growth; Korea facility ramping to 1M cells annually."
"SES AI Corporation (SES) is transitioning into energy storage and drone markets, showing progress in margin improvement and cost reduction."
"SES AI Corporation... today announced it has appointed Paul Diemer to the Company’s Board of Directors."
"NYSE to commence delisting proceedings with respect to Warrants of SES AI Corporation (SES WS)."
🧠 Market Brain events driving this
📈 10D Investor Psychology
Signal classification confidence: High (confidence in the behavioral read, not a price prediction). Describes observable market behavior, not what any individual investor thinks, and is not a buy/sell signal.
🏛️ Investor DNA — Historical Investors
A Historical Strategy Simulation: assuming each investor follows their documented principles, how would they rate this stock today? This is not a prediction of what they would actually do.
🟢 Best match
Benjamin Graham — 100/100
🔴 Weakest match
Samuel Armstrong Nelson — 11/100
🗣️ Why do they disagree?
This stock’s starkly divided verdicts reflect a clash between defensive, growth-oriented, and contrarian perspectives. Benjamin Graham and Walter Bagehot’s near-perfect scores highlight its appeal as a low-risk, liquid, and statistically discounted opportunity—ideal for conservative or credit-resilient investors. Meanwhile, Peter Lynch and the Enterprising Graham model see it as a high-potential growth play, where the market hasn’t yet priced in its future. However, Fisher, Marks, and Housel temper enthusiasm, noting that while the business may be solid, it risks being overvalued or merely ‘holdable’ rather than a standout pick. The divide widens further with Livermore and Veblen, who dismiss it outright—Livermore’s trend-following rules reject it, while Veblen’s growth-critique flags it as speculative. The middle-ground methodologies (Nelson, Loeb, Efficient Market) suggest it’s neither a slam dunk nor a red flag, leaving it as a stock that only resonates with specific investor philosophies.
Benjamin Graham
Security Analysis (1934) / The Intelligent Investor (1949)
🟢 100
Attractive to a Defensive Graham Investor
Key question
Where is my margin of safety?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Walter Bagehot
Lombard Street (1873)
🟢 100
Strong liquidity — would likely survive a real credit squeeze
Key question
Does this company have enough liquidity to survive real stress?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Peter Lynch
One Up on Wall Street (1989)
🟢 93
Growth candidate — the price hasn't caught up to the growth
Key question
Is the growth worth the price?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Benjamin Graham (Enterprising Investor)
The Intelligent Investor (1949) — the Enterprising Investor chapters
🟢 83
Deep statistical discount — a real Enterprising Investor candidate
Key question
Is the stock statistically cheap enough to justify the extra risk?
⚠️ Partial data for this stock — score is less reliable — Data availability: 45%
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Edgar Lawrence Smith
Common Stocks as Long-Term Investments (1924)
🟢 73
Looks like a real 'buy and hold for a decade' candidate
Key question
Is this a stock I'd be happy to hold and forget about for a decade?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Howard Marks (Market Cycle)
Mastering the Market Cycle (2018)
🟢 72
Looks early-to-mid cycle, not overextended
Key question
Where are we in the cycle right now — near a hot extreme, or a cold one?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Philip Fisher
Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits (1958)
🟢 67
Solid, but not the exceptional quality Fisher looked for
Key question
How exceptional is this business, really?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Jack Schwager
Market Wizards (1989)
🟢 66
A real, disciplined setup with favorable reward/risk
Key question
What's the risk/reward here, and where is my exit point?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing (2011) / Mastering the Market Cycle (2018)
🟡 63
Mixed — a good business, but expectations may already be high
Key question
What is the market probably misunderstanding about the risk here?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Charles Mackay
Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds (1841)
🟡 63
Some signs of crowd excitement building
Key question
Am I being swept along with the crowd, or thinking for myself?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Morgan Housel
The Psychology of Money (2020)
🟡 63
Moderate — holdable, but not effortless
Key question
Could I live with this volatility long enough for compounding to actually work?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Gerald M. Loeb
The Battle for Investment Survival (1935)
🟡 53
Moderate risk to capital
Key question
How much capital could I lose here if I'm wrong?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Burton Malkiel & John Bogle
A Random Walk Down Wall Street (1973) / The Little Book of Common Sense Investing (2007)
🟡 49
Mixed case — the evidence for picking this stock over an index is not strong
Key question
Do I actually have an edge here, or do I just think I do?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Jesse Livermore
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator (1923) / How to Trade in Stocks (1940)
🟡 46
No clear trend — Livermore preferred to stay out of this
Key question
What is the price telling me right now?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Thorstein Veblen
The Theory of Business Enterprise (1904)
🔴 21
Pattern Veblen would flag as growth pursued for its own sake
Key question
Is management building real value, or just building itself?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Samuel Armstrong Nelson
The ABC of Stock Speculation (1903)
🔴 11
Cycle looks stretched toward overbought
Key question
Is the price overextended, or is there still room to move?
Fact → Principle → Simulation
Based on the last 276 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.
🟡 Indicators are mixed — no clear bias (6 bullish · 4 bearish · 2 neutral)
A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.
The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.
Medium confidence
The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.
Gross Margin
53.8%
Operating Margin
-393.4%
Net Margin
-347.8%
EBITDA Margin
-344.4%
ROE
-34.0%
ROA
-26.8%
ROIC
—
EPS
-$0.22
Cash
$29.54M
Total Debt
$830.00K
Current Ratio
8.95
Debt/Equity
0.00
How is Fair Value calculated? →
Current Price
$0.61
Estimated Fair Value (DCF)
-$4.63
Model estimate — not a price target. Highly sensitive to growth/discount-rate assumptions.
Gap
-855.0%
🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value
Year 1 Growth Rate
25.0%
Discount Rate (WACC)
9.0%
Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%
Projection Years
5
| Year | Growth Rate | Projected FCF | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25.0% | $-76.53M | $-70.21M |
| 2 | 19.4% | $-91.35M | $-76.89M |
| 3 | 13.8% | $-103.91M | $-80.24M |
| 4 | 8.1% | $-112.36M | $-79.60M |
| 5 | 2.5% | $-115.16M | $-74.85M |
Base FCF (last actual year)
$-61.22M
Terminal Value
$-1.82B
Present Value of Terminal Value
$-1.18B
Enterprise Value
$-1.56B
Net Debt
$-28.71M
Equity Value
$-1.53B
*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.
Book Value per Share
$0.65
Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)
$0.60
Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 7 positive, 11 neutral, 2 negative out of the last 20 articles.
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SES AI Corporation (SES) currently has a StockIQ AI score of 57/100, rated "Moderate". The score is a weighted average across up to 7 categories (technical, fundamental, growth, fair value, news, quality, risk), based on real data only.
SES currently scores 57/100 (Moderate) across the categories we measure. StockIQ doesn't give buy/sell recommendations — use this as one data point in your own research, not as investment advice.
Per StockIQ's DCF model, SES's estimated fair value is -$4.63, which is 855.0% below the current price of $0.61. This is one valuation model among several signals in the fair-value category, not a price target.
SES's technical score is 57/100, which currently reads as neutral — based on real price/volume signals (moving averages, RSI, MACD, and more), not a prediction of what happens next.
Based on the real signals StockIQ computed: Revenue growth (last year): 929.4%; Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 29.0%; Free cash flow growth: 21.8%.
Based on the real signals StockIQ computed: Estimated fair value: -$4.63 vs. price $0.61 (-855.0%); Operating margin: -393.4% (negative); Net margin: -347.8% (negative).
StockIQ has no recorded dividend payment history for SES.
Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 2 sales out of the last 25 filings.
| Name | Transaction Type | Date | Shares | Change | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xu Kang | Tax Withholding in Shares | 1.9.2026 | 35,198 | -35,198 | $0.52 |
| Pilkington Kyle | Open Market Sale | 22.5.2026 | 25,000 | -25,000 | $1.20 |
| Pilkington Kyle | Open Market Sale | 22.5.2026 | 1,023,548 | -25,000 | $1.20 |
| Ma Jiong | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 141,593 | +141,593 | — |
| Luo Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 141,593 | +141,593 | — |
| Xu Kang | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 221,239 | +221,239 | — |
| Liu Yi Ray | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 331,858 | +331,858 | — |
| Boyd Andrew J | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 141,593 | +141,593 | — |
| Hu Qichao | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 1,504,425 | +1,504,425 | — |
| Pilkington Kyle | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 353,982 | +353,982 | — |
| Boyd Andrew J | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 437,889 | +141,593 | — |
| Ma Jiong | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 524,993 | +141,593 | — |
| Hu Qichao | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 5,449,607 | +1,504,425 | — |
| Luo Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 524,993 | +141,593 | — |
| Pilkington Kyle | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 1,048,548 | +353,982 | — |
| Xu Kang | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 801,635 | +221,239 | — |
| Liu Yi Ray | Grant/Award from Employer | 18.5.2026 | 331,858 | +331,858 | — |
| Gan Hong | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 32,138 | -32,138 | $1.10 |
| Hu Qichao | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 133,303 | -133,303 | $1.10 |
| Pilkington Kyle | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 25,185 | -25,185 | $1.10 |
| Nealis Jing | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 36,145 | -36,145 | $1.10 |
| Gan Hong | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 1,031,576 | -32,138 | $1.10 |
| Hu Qichao | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 3,945,182 | -133,303 | $1.10 |
| Nealis Jing | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 2,305,943 | -36,145 | $1.10 |
| Pilkington Kyle | Tax Withholding in Shares | 14.4.2026 | 694,566 | -25,185 | $1.10 |
Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.
44,456,347 shares short as of 2026-08-31 · vs. 44,223,194 on 2026-07-31
Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.
67.5% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 70.1% the prior week
Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.
Full breakdown of every data type and its source: Data Sources · Methodology