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OVV

Ovintiv Inc. (DE)

Energy · ·

$59.86

$1.90 (+3.3%)

Market Cap

$16.49B

Day Range

$58.62 - $60.00

52-Week Range

$35.47 - $64.61

Beta

Next Earnings

02.11.2026

OVV is a stock from the Energy sectorOil, gas, and renewable energy — highly volatile profitability, dependent on global commodity prices.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+46.6% (1Y)

Investor Score
59/ 100C
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈48D+Technical
💰58CFundamental
🚀56CGrowth
💎55CValuation
📰100A+News
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️48D+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🟡 Mixed

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.46
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 13.5%

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.54
  • 🔴 Revenue growth (last year): -2.7%
  • 🔴 MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴 -12.8% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.54

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🔴 Liquidity risk

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟡 Indicators are mixed — no clear bias (4 bullish · 5 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACDMACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 47.7 — weak/negative bias
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 15.7 — oversold
  • 🟢ADX (trend strength)ADX 27.0 — strong trend
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-12.8% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: 0.3%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟡CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: 0.03

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markup

The stock is in a clear uptrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟢Rising price trendA 2.6% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$57.96

Stop-Loss

$49.82

Risk per Share

$8.14

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$74.25

1:3 R

$82.39

1:5 R

$98.68

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

12 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

12.7%

Net Margin

13.9%

EBITDA Margin

37.2%

Efficiency

ROE

11.1%

ROA

6.1%

ROIC

EPS

$4.83

Balance Sheet

Cash

$35.00M

Total Debt

$5.20B

Current Ratio

0.54

Debt/Equity

0.46

Conclusions

  • 🟡Operating marginOperating margin: 12.7% — reasonable
  • 🟡Net marginNet margin: 13.9% — reasonable
  • 🟡Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 11.1% — reasonable
  • 🟡Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 6.1% — reasonable
  • 🔴Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 0.54
  • 🟢Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.46
  • 🟡Interest coverageInterest coverage: 3.0x

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): -2.7%
  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: 13.5%
  • 🟡Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: 6.1%
  • 🟢Net income growthNet income growth: 10.4%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
15.6.2026$0.300
13.3.2026$0.300
15.12.2025$0.300
15.9.2025$0.300
13.6.2025$0.300
14.3.2025$0.300
13.12.2024$0.300
13.9.2024$0.300
14.6.2024$0.300
14.3.2024$0.300
14.12.2023$0.300
14.9.2023$0.300

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$59.86

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$56.67

Gap

-5.3%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

-5.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
1-5.0%$1.43B$1.31B
2-3.1%$1.39B$1.17B
3-1.2%$1.37B$1.06B
40.6%$1.38B$975.01M
52.5%$1.41B$916.87M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$1.50B

Terminal Value

$22.25B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$14.46B

Enterprise Value

$19.88B

Net Debt

$5.17B

Equity Value

$14.72B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$43.11

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$33.19

Conclusions

  • 🟡DCF Fair ValueEstimated fair value: $56.67 vs. price $59.86 (-5.3%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $33.19
  • 🟢P/EP/E: 12.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
IZZO RALPHGrant/Award from Employer30.6.20267,340+41
Gentle MegGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202611,899+67
Shaw Brian GordonGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202637,784+208
Mayson Howard JohnGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202610,084+56
Code Corey DouglasGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202669,800+386
Code Corey DouglasGrant/Award from Employer30.6.20262,879+16
Givens Gregory DeanGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202678,697+441
McCracken Brendan MichaelGrant/Award from Employer30.6.2026226,748+1,271
Moore Rachel MaureenGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202637,696+208
Eilers Meghan NicoleGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202646,955+263
Chhina SippyGrant/Award from Employer30.6.20262,784+15
King Terri GayGrant/Award from Employer30.6.2026410+3
RICKS THOMAS GExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.2026103,842+3,510
RICKS THOMAS GGrant/Award from Employer21.5.20263,510+3,510
RICKS THOMAS GExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.20260-3,510
NANCE STEVEN WExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.202642,336+5,704
NANCE STEVEN WGrant/Award from Employer21.5.20265,704+5,704
NANCE STEVEN WExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.20260-5,704
IZZO RALPHExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.202620,515+3,510
IZZO RALPHGrant/Award from Employer21.5.20263,510+3,510
IZZO RALPHExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.20260-3,510
Pita GeorgeExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.202626,597+3,510
Pita GeorgeGrant/Award from Employer21.5.20263,510+3,510
Pita GeorgeExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.20260-3,510
Gentle MegExercise of Derivative Securities21.5.202632,188+3,510

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

-6.0%

14,258,541 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 15,173,965 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

+17.0%

57.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 49.4% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 14 positive, 5 neutral, 1 negative out of the last 20 articles.