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OGS

ONE Gas Inc. Common Stock

Utilities · ·

$79.62

▲ $0.37 (+0.5%)

Market Cap

$5.00B

Day Range

$79.22 - $80.76

52-Week Range

$73.91 - $90.78

Beta

—

Next Earnings

02.11.2026

OGS is a stock from the Utilities sector — Electricity, water, and residential gas — steady demand and heavy regulation, considered a defensive, dividend-paying sector.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

AEE

Ameren Corporation

AES

The AES Corporation

AM

Antero Midstream Corporation

+7.3% (1Y)

Investor Score
49/ 100D+
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈38FTechnical
💰41DFundamental
🚀68B-Growth
💎38FValuation
📰86ANews
🏦42DQuality
⚠️42DRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 61.6%
  • 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🟢 RSI 51.3 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 11.8%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 18.6%

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: -$97.02 vs. price $79.62 (-221.9%)
  • 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.60
  • 🔴 Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴 MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🟡 Conservative leverage🟡 Daily volatility (ATR)🟡 Leverage risk🔴 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about ONE Gas Inc. Common Stock. News trend score: 86. Reason: 10 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 4 negative.

🟢 Wells Fargo Upgrades ONE Gas (OGS) — Fintel🟢 ONE Gas Inc (OGS) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: EPS Soars 52% on Regulatory Wins and ... — Yahoo🟢 ONE Gas Inc (OGS) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: EPS Soars 52% on Regulatory Wins and ... — GuruFocus.com

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (3 bullish · 6 bearish · 2 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🟢RSI — RSI 51.3 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic — %K 46.8 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 14.1 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🟢Volume trend — Rising volume supports the price advance
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -13.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: -0.3%
  • 🔴Parabolic SAR — Price is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🔴CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.17

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Undefined

The stock is in a trading range, but the picture isn't yet clear enough on the likely direction.

Low confidence

$75.35

Range Bottom

$82.91

Range Top

50

Trading Days in Range

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟡Trading range identified — The stock is trading in a 10.0% range (between 75.35 and 82.91) over 50 trading days.
  • 🟢Trading volume in the range is declining — Declining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🔴 Downtrend

The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$79.25

Stop-Loss

$84.70

Risk per Share

$5.45

Direction

Short

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$68.35

1:3 R

$62.90

1:5 R

$52.00

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

18 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

—

Operating Margin

—

Net Margin

—

EBITDA Margin

—

Efficiency

ROE

7.7%

ROA

3.0%

ROIC

—

EPS

$4.39

Balance Sheet

Cash

$10.62M

Total Debt

$2.61B

Current Ratio

0.60

Debt/Equity

0.76

Conclusions

  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 7.7% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 3.0% — weak
  • 🔴Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 0.60
  • 🟡Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.76
  • 🟡Interest coverage — Interest coverage: 3.2x

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 11.8%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 61.6%
  • 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 18.6%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
18.5.2026$0.680
20.2.2026$0.680
14.11.2025$0.670
18.8.2025$0.670
19.5.2025$0.670
21.2.2025$0.670
19.11.2024$0.660
14.8.2024$0.660
17.5.2024$0.660
22.2.2024$0.660
14.11.2023$0.650
15.8.2023$0.650

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$79.62

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

-$97.02

Gap

-221.9%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

25.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
125.0%$-160.49M$-147.24M
219.4%$-191.59M$-161.25M
313.8%$-217.93M$-168.28M
48.1%$-235.64M$-166.93M
52.5%$-241.53M$-156.98M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$-128.39M

Terminal Value

$-3.81B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$-2.48B

Enterprise Value

$-3.28B

Net Debt

$2.60B

Equity Value

$-5.87B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$56.85

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$54.24

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: -$97.02 vs. price $79.62 (-221.9%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $54.24
  • 🟡P/E — P/E: 18.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 2 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
McCormick Joseph LExercise of Derivative Securities9.6.202676,180+1,273$76.00
McCormick Joseph LTax Withholding in Shares9.6.202675,622-558$76.00
McCormick Joseph LExercise of Derivative Securities9.6.202676,852+1,230$76.00
McCormick Joseph LTax Withholding in Shares9.6.202676,312-539$76.00
McCormick Joseph LExercise of Derivative Securities9.6.202677,137+825$76.00
McCormick Joseph LTax Withholding in Shares9.6.202676,775-362$76.00
McCormick Joseph LExercise of Derivative Securities9.6.20260-3,132$76.00
MOORE PATTYE LExercise of Derivative Securities3.6.20266,088+5,638$77.47
MOORE PATTYE LExercise of Derivative Securities3.6.202650,714-5,638$77.74
GIBSON JOHN WILLIAMExercise of Derivative Securities3.6.2026292,670+19,976$77.47
GIBSON JOHN WILLIAMExercise of Derivative Securities3.6.20266,010-19,976$77.74
MOORE PATTYE LGrant/Award from Employer21.5.202655,877+1,700$82.35
RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO AGrant/Award from Employer21.5.202614,637+1,275$82.35
RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO AGrant/Award from Employer21.5.20265,276+425$82.35
Hutchinson Michael GGrant/Award from Employer21.5.202616,331+1,700$82.35
Siegel Yves CGrant/Award from Employer21.5.20265,447+1,700$82.35
Hart Tracy EGrant/Award from Employer21.5.202611,302+1,700$82.35
Hersman DeborahGrant/Award from Employer21.5.20267,533+1,700$82.35
Meshri Sanjay D.Grant/Award from Employer21.5.20265,293+1,700$82.35
RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO AOpen Market Sale6.3.202613,362-850$86.34
Brumfield Brian F.Open Market Sale24.2.20262,246-1,000$86.44
DINAN CURTISExercise of Derivative Securities16.2.2026143,701+5,395$86.04
DINAN CURTISTax Withholding in Shares16.2.2026141,263-2,438$86.04
DINAN CURTISExercise of Derivative Securities16.2.20260-6,358$86.04
DINAN CURTISGrant/Award from Employer16.2.20266,974+6,974$86.04

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↑+1.4%

3,413,679 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 3,366,928 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↓-7.2%

61.1% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 65.9% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 10 positive, 6 neutral, 4 negative out of the last 20 articles.