NFG

Conclusions

• 🔴Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is below the 50-day average
• 🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
• 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
• 🔴RSI — RSI 43.1 — weak/negative bias
• 🔴Stochastic — %K 3.0 — oversold
• 🔴ADX (trend strength) — ADX 30.4 — strong trend
• 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -8.6% over the last 3 months relative to the index
• 🔴Bollinger Bands — Price is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (4%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
• 🔴ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: -2.8%
• 🔴Parabolic SAR — Price is below the SAR point — downtrend
• 🟡CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: -0.02

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

Conclusions

• 🟢Gross margin — Gross margin: 90.6% — strong
• 🟢Operating margin — Operating margin: 35.7% — strong
• 🟢Net margin — Net margin: 22.8% — strong
• 🟡Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 16.8% — reasonable
• 🟡Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 5.9% — reasonable
• 🔴Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 0.44
• 🟡Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.87
• 🟢Interest coverage — Interest coverage: 5.8x

Conclusions

• 🟢Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 17.1%
• 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 576.2%
• 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 39.0%
• 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 568.9%

Conclusions

• 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $3.06 vs. price $80.63 (-96.2%)
• 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $33.86
• 🟢P/E — P/E: 13.9