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NE

Noble Corporation plc A Ordinary Shares

Energy · ·

$40.69

▲ $0.79 (+2.0%)

Market Cap

$6.50B

Day Range

$40.69 - $41.49

52-Week Range

$26.20 - $54.98

Beta

—

Next Earnings

26.10.2026

NE is a stock from the Energy sector — Oil, gas, and renewable energy — highly volatile profitability, dependent on global commodity prices.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

AMPY

Amplify Energy Corp.

BE

Bloom Energy Corporation

BHP

BHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)

+45.2% (1Y)

Investor Score
44/ 100D
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈19FTechnical
💰58CFundamental
🚀48D+Growth
💎62C+Valuation
📰26FNews
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️54C-Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Estimated fair value: $59.44 vs. price $40.69 (+46.1%)
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 439.1%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.43
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 1.67

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 ATR: 4.0% of price
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -54.4%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -51.7%
  • 🔴 Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴 Price is below the 200-day average

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🔴 Negative

Everyone's writing about Noble Corporation plc A Ordinary Shares. News trend score: 26. Reason: 8 of the last 19 articles are negative, versus 4 positive.

🟡 NE: Raising target price to $43.00 — Argus Research🟢 1 Profitable Stock for Long-Term Investors and 2 Facing Challenges — StockStory🔴 Barclays Maintains Overweight on Noble Corp, Lowers Price Target to $53 — Benzinga

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (1 bullish · 9 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
  • 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSI — RSI 44.1 — weak/negative bias
  • 🔴Stochastic — %K 17.3 — oversold
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 22.0 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -24.9% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴Bollinger Bands — Price is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (23%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: -1.7%
  • 🔴Parabolic SAR — Price is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.11

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trend — A -20.2% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟡 Range

The price is oscillating around the 200-day average with no clear direction — the method recommends great caution here (buying at the bottom of the range / selling at the top) or avoiding trading altogether.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

In a range, the method doesn't give a single directional stop point — the market currently lacks a clear direction, consider waiting for a breakout from the range.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

—

Operating Margin

12.6%

Net Margin

6.6%

EBITDA Margin

12.6%

Efficiency

ROE

4.8%

ROA

2.9%

ROIC

—

EPS

$1.36

Balance Sheet

Cash

$471.40M

Total Debt

$1.98B

Current Ratio

1.67

Debt/Equity

0.43

Conclusions

  • 🟡Operating margin — Operating margin: 12.6% — reasonable
  • 🟡Net margin — Net margin: 6.6% — reasonable
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 4.8% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 2.9% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 1.67
  • 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.43

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟡Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 7.4%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -54.4%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 439.1%
  • 🔴Net income growth — Net income growth: -51.7%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
4.6.2026$0.500
4.3.2026$0.500
4.12.2025$0.500
4.9.2025$0.500
5.6.2025$0.500
5.3.2025$0.500
5.12.2024$0.500
12.9.2024$0.500
6.6.2024$0.400
7.3.2024$0.400
14.11.2023$0.400
16.8.2023$0.300

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$40.69

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$59.44

Gap

+46.1%

🟢 Appears cheap relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

25.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
125.0%$540.19M$495.59M
219.4%$644.86M$542.76M
313.8%$733.52M$566.42M
48.1%$793.12M$561.87M
52.5%$812.95M$528.36M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$432.15M

Terminal Value

$12.82B

Present Value of Terminal Value

$8.33B

Enterprise Value

$11.03B

Net Debt

$1.50B

Equity Value

$9.52B

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$28.39

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$28.39

Conclusions

  • 🟢DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $59.44 vs. price $40.69 (+46.1%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $28.39
  • 🟡P/E — P/E: 29.6

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 20 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Hirshberg Al J.Open Market Sale15.5.202629,303-3,500$52.63
Hirshberg Al J.Open Market Sale15.5.202627,803-1,500$52.60
SLEDGE CHARLES MOpen Market Sale12.5.20261,360-724$51.61
Denton BlakeOpen Market Sale6.5.202629,927-30,000$49.31
Kawaja Joey MOpen Market Sale5.5.202640,071-40,000$49.86
Howard JennieOpen Market Sale30.4.202615,676-2,486$51.08
HOLTH KRISTINExercise of Derivative Securities29.4.202615,810+3,649—
HOLTH KRISTINExercise of Derivative Securities29.4.20262,433-3,649$50.95
HOLTH KRISTINExercise of Derivative Securities29.4.20260-2,433—
ALTING CAROLINEOpen Market Sale28.4.20268,170-15,340$52.75
Eifler Robert W.Open Market Sale18.3.20261,271,075-72,753$46.43
Eifler Robert W.Open Market Sale18.3.20261,243,828-27,247$47.11
Barker Richard B.Open Market Sale18.3.2026211,942-102,839$46.43
Barker Richard B.Open Market Sale18.3.2026164,781-47,161$47.07
Denton BlakeOpen Market Sale2.3.202674,261-5,000$44.82
Denton BlakeOpen Market Sale2.3.202659,927-14,334$45.29
SLEDGE CHARLES MOpen Market Sale19.2.20262,084-2,083$44.63
Barker Richard B.Open Market Sale19.2.2026314,781-20,000$42.96
Denton BlakeOpen Market Sale17.2.202679,261-23,255$43.50
IPSEN MIKKELOpen Market Sale17.2.202611,854-3,453$43.56
Kawaja Joey MOpen Market Sale13.2.202680,074-19,725$43.51
ALTING CAROLINEOpen Market Sale13.2.202623,510-4,195$43.60
Howard JennieOpen Market Sale13.2.202618,162-6,094$42.00
Eifler Robert W.Exercise of Derivative Securities12.2.20261,388,555+113,663—
Eifler Robert W.Tax Withholding in Shares12.2.20261,343,828-44,727$42.10

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

↑+19.1%

13,005,119 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 10,922,086 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↑+3.4%

78.9% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 76.4% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 4 positive, 7 neutral, 8 negative out of the last 19 articles.