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MUR

Murphy Oil Corporation

· · NYSE

$33.04

$3.00 (-8.3%)

Market Cap

$4.74B

Day Range

$32.72 - $34.79

52-Week Range

$21.86 - $43.34

Beta

Next Earnings

03.11.2026

+52.5% (1Y)

Investor Score
51/ 100C-
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈41DTechnical
💰50C-Fundamental
🚀32FGrowth
💎50C-Valuation
📰100A+News
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️40DRisk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
  • 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.25
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢 Gross margin: 100.0% — strong

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 ATR: 4.3% of price
  • 🔴 Current ratio: 0.77
  • 🔴 Revenue growth (last year): -10.2%
  • 🔴 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: -73.3%
  • 🔴 Net income growth: -74.4%

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🔴 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about Murphy Oil Corporation. News trend score: 100. Reason: 14 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 0 negative.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (3 bullish · 6 bearish · 1 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🔴RSIRSI 46.4 — weak/negative bias
  • 🔴Stochastic%K 1.9 — oversold
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 19.8 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-18.2% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -2.1%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: 0.09

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Accumulation

A pattern consistent with an early/mid accumulation phase — a trading range after a decline with declining volume.

Medium confidence

$31.47

Range Bottom

$40.68

Range Top

50

Trading Days in Range

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🟡Trading range identifiedThe stock is trading in a 29.3% range (between 31.47 and 40.68) over 50 trading days.
  • 🟢The range follows a downtrendUnder the Wyckoff method, a trading range following a decline is a natural candidate for an Accumulation phase — smart money buying from weak sellers.
  • 🟢Trading volume in the range is decliningDeclining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟢 Price in value zone

The price is close to the 50-day moving average — per the method, this is a reasonable area to look for an entry, rather than chasing the price far from it.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$36.04

Stop-Loss

$29.93

Risk per Share

$6.11

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$48.27

1:3 R

$54.38

1:5 R

$66.61

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

16 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

100.0%

Operating Margin

11.1%

Net Margin

3.8%

EBITDA Margin

47.0%

Efficiency

ROE

2.0%

ROA

1.1%

ROIC

EPS

$0.73

Balance Sheet

Cash

$377.20M

Total Debt

$1.27B

Current Ratio

0.77

Debt/Equity

0.25

Conclusions

  • 🟢Gross marginGross margin: 100.0% — strong
  • 🟡Operating marginOperating margin: 11.1% — reasonable
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: 3.8% — weak
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): 2.0% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): 1.1% — weak
  • 🔴Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 0.77
  • 🟢Debt-to-equityDebt/equity: 0.25

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

אין נתונים היסטוריים זמינים.

Conclusions

  • 🔴Revenue growth (last year)Revenue growth (last year): -10.2%
  • 🔴Earnings per share (EPS) growthEarnings per share (EPS) growth: -73.3%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -74.4%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
18.5.2026$0.350
17.2.2026$0.350
17.11.2025$0.325
18.8.2025$0.325
16.5.2025$0.325
18.2.2025$0.325
18.11.2024$0.300
19.8.2024$0.300
17.5.2024$0.300
16.2.2024$0.300
10.11.2023$0.275
11.8.2023$0.275

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Not enough cash-flow data to calculate a DCF model for this stock.

Book Value per Share

$35.54

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$35.54

Conclusions

  • 🟢Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV)NAV per share: $35.54
  • 🔴P/EP/E: 50.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 2 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Nolan Jeffrey WExercise of Derivative Securities1.7.2026269,104+2,174
Nolan Jeffrey WDisposition to the Company1.7.2026266,930-2,174$31.51
Nolan Jeffrey WExercise of Derivative Securities1.7.202633,772-2,174
DEMING CLAIBORNE PGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202631,470+1,267
DEMING CLAIBORNE PGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202632,046+576
Nolan Jeffrey WGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202662,655+845
BOTNER E TEDExercise of Derivative Securities30.6.2026225,283+8,790
BOTNER E TEDTax Withholding in Shares30.6.2026221,824-3,459$33.42
BOTNER E TEDExercise of Derivative Securities30.6.2026229,623+7,799
BOTNER E TEDTax Withholding in Shares30.6.2026226,554-3,069$33.42
BOTNER E TEDExercise of Derivative Securities30.6.2026251,669+25,115
BOTNER E TEDTax Withholding in Shares30.6.2026241,786-9,883$33.42
BOTNER E TEDExercise of Derivative Securities30.6.202640,030-9,850
BOTNER E TEDExercise of Derivative Securities30.6.202624,630-15,400
BOTNER E TEDExercise of Derivative Securities30.6.20260-24,630
Earley Michelle AGrant/Award from Employer30.6.202635,630+35
DEMING CLAIBORNE PGrant/Award from Employer31.3.202629,203+455
DEMING CLAIBORNE PGrant/Award from Employer31.3.202630,203+1,000
Nolan Jeffrey WGrant/Award from Employer31.3.202661,810+667
Earley Michelle AGrant/Award from Employer31.3.202635,595+28
Hanchera Daniel ROpen Market Sale11.3.202636,166-47,320$33.79
Martinez Maria AOpen Market Sale3.3.202650,000-8,608$34.93
MURPHY ROBERT MADISONGift11.2.20261,445,274-43,148
MURPHY ROBERT MADISONGift9.2.20261,488,422-4,345
MURPHY ROBERT MADISONGift9.2.202650,228+2,896

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

+4.0%

9,731,077 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 9,361,261 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-1.5%

72.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 73.9% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 14 positive, 6 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 20 articles.