INGR
Ingredion Inc.· · NYSE
$102.93
▼ $0.36 (-0.3%)
Market Cap
$6.49B
Day Range
$102.56 - $104.34
52-Week Range
$94.44 - $130.48
Beta
—
Next Earnings
02.11.2026
-17.5% (1Y)
This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer
Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%
🔍 Cross-Check
Overall Score
🟡 Mixed
Technical Trend
🟢 Bullish
✅ Why is the score relatively high?
- 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time
- 🟢 Debt/equity: 0.42
- 🟢 Current ratio: 2.66
- 🟢 Price is above the 50-day average
- 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
⚠️ What's concerning?
- 🔴 Revenue growth (last year): -2.8%
- 🔴 Free cash flow growth: -55.2%
- 🔴 Price is below the 200-day average
- 🔴 -8.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
🚦 Quality & Risk Checks
📰 News Trend
Based on real financial news (Finnhub)Everyone's writing about Ingredion Inc.. News trend score: 100. Reason: 11 of the last 20 articles are positive, versus 1 negative.
News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer
📈 Technical Analysis
Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.
🟢 Most indicators support an uptrend (8 bullish · 2 bearish · 2 neutral)
Conclusions
- 🟢Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is above the 50-day average
- 🔴Price vs. SMA 200 — Price is below the 200-day average
- 🟢MACD — MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
- 🟢RSI — RSI 57.3 — healthy positive momentum
- 🟡Stochastic — %K 59.0 — neutral range
- 🟡ADX (trend strength) — ADX 19.6 — weak trend/choppy
- 🟢Volume trend — Rising volume supports the price advance
- 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — -8.3% over the last 3 months relative to the index
- 🟢Bollinger Bands — Price is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (82%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
- 🟢ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: 0.8%
- 🟢Parabolic SAR — Price is above the SAR point — uptrend
- 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.11
Wyckoff Method Analysis
A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.
A pattern consistent with an early/mid accumulation phase — a trading range after a decline with declining volume.
Medium confidence
$94.44
Range Bottom
$106.46
Range Top
50
Trading Days in Range
Evidence Behind This Read
- 🟡Trading range identified — The stock is trading in a 12.7% range (between 94.44 and 106.46) over 50 trading days.
- 🟢The range follows a downtrend — Under the Wyckoff method, a trading range following a decline is a natural candidate for an Accumulation phase — smart money buying from weak sellers.
- 🟢Trading volume in the range is declining — Declining volume across the range suggests supply (in accumulation) or demand (in distribution) is being exhausted — usually a sign the range is nearing its end.
The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.
🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)
Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.
1️⃣ Market Structure
🔴 Downtrend
The price is below the 200-day average — an environment that mainly favors looking for selling (Short) opportunities, not buying.
2️⃣ Value Zone
🟡 Price far from value zone
The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.
3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)
Method formula: Stop-loss = resistance plusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.
Entry
$103.29
Stop-Loss
$108.98
Risk per Share
$5.69
Direction
Short
Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)
1:2 R
$91.91
1:3 R
$86.22
1:5 R
$74.84
💰 Position Size Calculator
A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.
Suggested Position Size
17 sh.
💰 Financial Health
Profitability
Gross Margin
25.3%
Operating Margin
14.1%
Net Margin
10.1%
EBITDA Margin
17.1%
Efficiency
ROE
17.1%
ROA
9.2%
ROIC
—
EPS
$11.36
Balance Sheet
Cash
$1.03B
Total Debt
$1.79B
Current Ratio
2.66
Debt/Equity
0.42
Conclusions
- 🟡Gross margin — Gross margin: 25.3% — reasonable
- 🟡Operating margin — Operating margin: 14.1% — reasonable
- 🟡Net margin — Net margin: 10.1% — reasonable
- 🟡Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 17.1% — reasonable
- 🟡Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 9.2% — reasonable
- 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 2.66
- 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.42
🚀 Growth
Revenue
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Net Income
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Conclusions
- 🔴Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): -2.8%
- 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 15.1%
- 🔴Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: -55.2%
- 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 12.7%
💵 Dividends
Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.
Annual Dividend per Share
| Ex-Dividend Date | Amount per Share |
|---|---|
| 1.7.2026 | $0.820 |
| 1.4.2026 | $0.820 |
| 2.1.2026 | $0.820 |
| 1.10.2025 | $0.820 |
| 1.7.2025 | $0.800 |
| 1.4.2025 | $0.800 |
| 2.1.2025 | $0.800 |
| 1.10.2024 | $0.800 |
| 1.7.2024 | $0.780 |
| 28.3.2024 | $0.780 |
| 29.12.2023 | $0.780 |
| 29.9.2023 | $0.780 |
💎 Fair Value (Valuation)
Current Price
$102.93
Estimated Fair Value (DCF)
$96.91
Gap
-5.8%
🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value
Show all model (DCF) assumptions →
Year 1 Growth Rate
-3.0%
Discount Rate (WACC)
9.0%
Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%
Projection Years
5
| Year | Growth Rate | Projected FCF | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -3.0% | $495.51M | $454.60M |
| 2 | -1.6% | $487.35M | $410.19M |
| 3 | -0.3% | $486.05M | $375.32M |
| 4 | 1.1% | $491.48M | $348.18M |
| 5 | 2.5% | $503.77M | $327.42M |
Base FCF (last actual year)
$511.00M
Terminal Value
$7.94B
Present Value of Terminal Value
$5.16B
Enterprise Value
$7.08B
Net Debt
$760.00M
Equity Value
$6.32B
*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.
Book Value per Share
$65.55
Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)
$46.09
Conclusions
- 🟡DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $96.91 vs. price $102.93 (-5.8%)
- 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $46.09
- 🟢P/E — P/E: 9.2
🕴️ Insider Trading
Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 0 sales out of the last 25 filings.
| Name | Transaction Type | Date | Shares | Change | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Michael J | Grant/Award from Employer | 31.7.2026 | 1,801 | +34 | $99.46 |
| Seip David Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 31.7.2026 | 13,378 | +18 | $99.46 |
| Leonard Michael J | Grant/Award from Employer | 15.7.2026 | 1,753 | +34 | $99.17 |
| Seip David Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 15.7.2026 | 13,254 | +18 | $99.16 |
| Escoe T. Kenneth | Grant/Award from Employer | 1.7.2026 | 1,516 | +1,516 | $98.97 |
| Leonard Michael J | Grant/Award from Employer | 30.6.2026 | 1,719 | +36 | $94.71 |
| Seip David Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 30.6.2026 | 13,236 | +18 | $94.71 |
| Magro Charles V. | Grant/Award from Employer | 30.6.2026 | 500 | +265 | $94.71 |
| Leonard Michael J | Grant/Award from Employer | 15.6.2026 | 1,683 | +34 | $101.51 |
| Seip David Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 15.6.2026 | 13,218 | +17 | $101.50 |
| Leonard Michael J | Grant/Award from Employer | 29.5.2026 | 1,649 | +34 | $101.44 |
| Seip David Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 29.5.2026 | 13,200 | +17 | $101.44 |
| Fischer David B | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 21,435 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Jordan Rhonda L | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 28,909 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Magro Charles V. | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 11,345 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| REICH VICTORIA | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 21,927 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Suever Catherine A | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 8,710 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Talbot Siobhan | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 1,797 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Tanda Stephan B. | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 1,797 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Uribe Jorge A. | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 14,815 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Verduin Patricia | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 5,620 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Wilson Dwayne Andree | Grant/Award from Employer | 20.5.2026 | 30,536 | +1,797 | $107.34 |
| Leonard Michael J | Grant/Award from Employer | 15.5.2026 | 1,615 | +33 | $102.62 |
| Seip David Eric | Grant/Award from Employer | 15.5.2026 | 13,183 | +17 | $102.62 |
| Ritchie Robert A. | Tax Withholding in Shares | 2.5.2026 | 31,178 | -842 | $110.43 |
📉 Short Interest
Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.
Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest
4,552,704 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 4,132,121 on 2026-06-30
Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.
Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity
72.6% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 70.5% the prior week
Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.
📰 News & Sentiment
Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 11 positive, 8 neutral, 1 negative out of the last 20 articles.
Benzinga · 5.8.2026
Yahoo · 5.8.2026
Zacks · 5.8.2026
MT Newswires · 5.8.2026
Morningstar Research · 5.8.2026
Benzinga · 5.8.2026
Yahoo · 5.8.2026
MarketBeat · 5.8.2026
Argus Research · 5.8.2026
Yahoo · 4.8.2026
Moby · 4.8.2026
Yahoo · 4.8.2026
GuruFocus.com · 4.8.2026
SeekingAlpha · 4.8.2026
SeekingAlpha · 4.8.2026
MT Newswires · 4.8.2026
Yahoo · 4.8.2026
Zacks · 4.8.2026
Yahoo · 4.8.2026
StockStory · 4.8.2026