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CBIO

Crescent Biopharma, Inc.

Health Care · ·

$16.43

$0.66 (+4.2%)

Market Cap

$610.27M

Day Range

$15.73 - $16.51

52-Week Range

$8.72 - $27.41

Beta

Next Earnings

CBIO is a stock from the Healthcare sectorPharmaceuticals, biotech, medical devices, and health insurance — less sensitive to economic cycles, but exposed to regulation and FDA approvals.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

+49.4% (1Y)

Investor Score
43/ 100D
🔴 Weak

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈48D+Technical
💰30FFundamental
🚀38FGrowth
💎50C-Valuation
📰50C-News
🏦42DQuality
⚠️48D+Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🔴 Bearish

Technical Trend

🟡 Mixed

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Current ratio: 6.56
  • 🟢 Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢 MACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢 RSI 51.1 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟢 Current ratio: 6.56

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Operating margin: -1407.5% (negative)
  • 🔴 Net margin: -1419.6% (negative)
  • 🔴 Operating margin is eroding over time
  • 🔴 ATR: 8.3% of price
  • 🔴 Return on equity (ROE): -75.8% (negative)

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🔴 Operating margin stability🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟡 Mixed

Everyone's writing about Crescent Biopharma, Inc.. News trend score: 50. Reason: The mix of positive and negative articles is balanced — 0 vs. 0 out of the last 2 articles.

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 251 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🟡 Indicators are mixed — no clear bias (4 bullish · 5 bearish · 3 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🟢Price vs. SMA 200Price is above the 200-day average
  • 🟢MACDMACD histogram is positive — rising momentum
  • 🟢RSIRSI 51.1 — healthy positive momentum
  • 🟡Stochastic%K 64.0 — neutral range
  • 🟡ADX (trend strength)ADX 13.4 — weak trend/choppy
  • 🔴Volume trendVolume is falling despite the price advance — possible weakening
  • 🔴Relative strength vs. S&P 500-13.8% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🟢Bollinger BandsPrice is in the upper third of the Bollinger Bands (69%B) — strong momentum (risk of a pullback)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change)ROC 12 days: -1.3%
  • 🔴Parabolic SARPrice is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟡CMF (money flow)CMF 20 days: -0.05

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Medium confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trendA -21.0% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

🟢 Uptrend

The price is above the 200-day average — per the market-structure method, this environment mainly favors looking for buying (Long) opportunities.

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

3️⃣ Suggested Exit Point (ATR-based)

Method formula: Stop-loss = support minusone ATR margin — this way the stop adapts to the stock's actual volatility, rather than an arbitrary number.

Entry

$16.43

Stop-Loss

$12.63

Risk per Share

$3.80

Direction

Long

Profit Targets by Risk/Reward Ratio (R)

1:2 R

$24.04

1:3 R

$27.84

1:5 R

$35.45

💰 Position Size Calculator

A core principle of the method: never risk a fixed dollar amount — risk a fixed percentage of equity, and let the position size vary according to the risk per share.

Suggested Position Size

26 sh.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

-1407.5%

Net Margin

-1419.6%

EBITDA Margin

-1407.5%

Efficiency

ROE

-75.8%

ROA

-64.1%

ROIC

EPS

Balance Sheet

Cash

$213.19M

Total Debt

Current Ratio

6.56

Debt/Equity

Conclusions

  • 🔴Operating marginOperating margin: -1407.5% (negative)
  • 🔴Net marginNet margin: -1419.6% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE)Return on equity (ROE): -75.8% (negative)
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA)Return on assets (ROA): -64.1% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity)Current ratio: 6.56

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Free cash flow growthFree cash flow growth: -132.9%
  • 🔴Net income growthNet income growth: -306.4%

💵 Dividends

Total dividend per share paid each year, over the last 5 years.

Annual Dividend per Share

Ex-Dividend DateAmount per Share
13.1.2023$24.000
21.9.2022$143.000

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Not enough cash-flow data to calculate a DCF model for this stock.

Book Value per Share

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

Conclusions

Not enough data to compute signals.

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 2 purchases and 7 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Fairmount Funds Management LLCOpen Market Purchase16.7.20263,601,316+853,450$14.50
Fairmount Funds Management LLCOpen Market Purchase16.7.20262,294,037+525,897$14.50
Brumm Joshua TOpen Market Sale22.6.2026281,212-42,305$17.99
McNeill JonathanOpen Market Sale22.6.2026139,158-20,549$17.99
Im Ellie EunkyungOpen Market Sale22.6.202622,069-1,219$17.99
Bispham Barbara HarlinOpen Market Sale22.6.202619,330-1,218$17.99
Scalzo Richard WilliamOpen Market Sale22.6.202620,298-1,112$17.99
Pinkas JanOpen Market Sale22.6.202622,239-1,288$17.99
Lynch RyanOpen Market Sale22.6.202613,871-465$17.99
Fairmount Healthcare Fund II L.P.Grant/Award from Employer2.6.202611,050+11,050
Moran SusanGrant/Award from Employer2.6.202611,050+11,050
Balcom AlexandraGrant/Award from Employer2.6.202611,050+11,050
Lubner David CharlesGrant/Award from Employer2.6.202611,050+11,050
Violin JonathanGrant/Award from Employer2.6.202611,050+11,050
Bispham Barbara HarlinGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202512,422+12,422
Bispham Barbara HarlinGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202518,422+6,000
Bispham Barbara HarlinGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202572,185+72,185
Lynch RyanGrant/Award from Employer15.12.20258,378+8,378
Lynch RyanGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202512,378+4,000
Lynch RyanGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202533,512+33,512
Im Ellie EunkyungGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202516,298+16,298
Im Ellie EunkyungGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202521,298+5,000
Im Ellie EunkyungGrant/Award from Employer15.12.202565,190+65,190
McNeill JonathanGrant/Award from Employer15.12.2025153,707+19,507
McNeill JonathanGrant/Award from Employer15.12.2025159,707+6,000

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

+1.9%

3,743,278 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 3,673,343 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

-16.2%

44.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 53.4% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 0 positive, 2 neutral, 0 negative out of the last 2 articles.