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BLLN

BillionToOne Inc. Class A Common Stock

Health Care · ·

$91.65

▼ $58.32 (-38.9%)

Market Cap

—

Day Range

$90.12 - $105.35

52-Week Range

$61.96 - $150.44

Beta

—

Next Earnings

02.12.2026

BLLN is a stock from the Healthcare sector — Pharmaceuticals, biotech, medical devices, and health insurance — less sensitive to economic cycles, but exposed to regulation and FDA approvals.

🏢 Similar Stocks in the Same Sector

AAPG

Ascentage Pharma Group International - American Depository

AARD

Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc.

ABCL

AbCellera Biologics Inc. - Common

-16.4% (1Y)

Investor Score
53/ 100C-
🟡 Moderate

This score and all analysis on this page are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Read the full disclaimer

📈30FTechnical
💰54C-Fundamental
🚀82A-Growth
💎33FValuation
📰86ANews
🏦63C+Quality
⚠️54C-Risk

Weighted: Technical 25% · Fundamental 20% · Growth 15% · Valuation 15% · News 10% · Quality 10% · Risk 5%

🔍 Cross-Check

Overall Score

🟡 Mixed

Technical Trend

🔴 Bearish

Insiders

🔴 Bearish

✅ Why is the score relatively high?

  • 🟢 Revenue growth (last year): 100.0%
  • 🟢 Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 103.4%
  • 🟢 Free cash flow growth: 133.6%
  • 🟢 Net income growth: 117.9%
  • 🟢 Operating margin is stable or improving over time

⚠️ What's concerning?

  • 🔴 Estimated fair value: $39.55 vs. price $91.65 (-56.8%)
  • 🔴 ATR: 12.4% of price
  • 🔴 Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴 MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴 P/E: 650.1

🚦 Quality & Risk Checks

🟢 Operating margin stability🟢 Conservative leverage🔴 Daily volatility (ATR)🟢 Leverage risk🟢 Liquidity risk

📰 News Trend

Based on real financial news (Finnhub)
🟢 Positive

Everyone's writing about BillionToOne Inc. Class A Common Stock. News trend score: 86. Reason: 9 of the last 15 articles are positive, versus 3 negative.

🟢 Top stock movements in today's session. — ChartMill🟢 Let's have a look at the top gainers and losers in the middle of the day of today's session. — ChartMill🟡 Let's uncover which stocks are experiencing notable gaps during today's session. — ChartMill

News trend analysis is based on article sentiment only, and is not investment advice or financial counsel. Read the full disclaimer

📈 Technical Analysis

Based on the last 187 trading days, calculated from real price data. Click an indicator for details and a chart.

🔴 Most indicators support a downtrend (2 bullish · 8 bearish · 0 neutral)

Conclusions

  • 🔴Price vs. SMA 50 — Price is below the 50-day average
  • 🔴MACD — MACD histogram is negative — falling momentum
  • 🔴RSI — RSI 32.5 — weak/negative bias
  • 🔴Stochastic — %K 1.5 — oversold
  • 🔴ADX (trend strength) — ADX 35.4 — strong trend
  • 🟢Relative strength vs. S&P 500 — +7.1% over the last 3 months relative to the index
  • 🔴Bollinger Bands — Price is in the lower third of the Bollinger Bands (-38%B) — weakness (chance of a recovery)
  • 🔴ROC (rate of change) — ROC 12 days: -31.3%
  • 🔴Parabolic SAR — Price is below the SAR point — downtrend
  • 🟢CMF (money flow) — CMF 20 days: 0.11

Wyckoff Method Analysis

A market-structure read based purely on real price and volume data — not full classic Wyckoff schematic identification (Phase A-E), but a quantitative analysis of what can reliably be computed: trading ranges, "effort vs. result", volume within the range, and Spring/Upthrust detection.

Markdown

The stock is in a clear downtrend with no defined trading range in the period examined.

Low confidence

Evidence Behind This Read

  • 🔴Falling price trend — A 0.0% change over the last 50 days, with no defined trading range.
  • 🔴Divergence between price and cumulative money flow (A/D Line) — Price and the cumulative Accumulation/Distribution Line are moving in opposite directions — a classic Wyckoff sign that the move isn't backed by real money, and may be less stable than it looks.

The Wyckoff Method, developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century, reads the balance of supply and demand through price and volume, based on the premise that large investors ("smart money") quietly accumulate shares before rallies and quietly distribute them before declines. The read here is based solely on real price and volume data — full, precise identification of classic Wyckoff patterns (such as Phases A-E) requires human chart-reading experience and judgment, so this is an approximate algorithmic read, not a substitute for professional analysis. This should not be considered investment advice.

🎯 Trade Planning (M.A.E.E Framework)

Based on a mechanical trading method: market structure → value zone → ATR-based exit point. Not investment advice — a calculation tool only.

1️⃣ Market Structure

Not enough history to determine market structure (200-day average required).

2️⃣ Value Zone

🟡 Price far from value zone

The price is currently far from the 50-day average — the method recommends waiting for a "pullback" before entering, rather than chasing prices.

Not enough data (ATR / support / resistance) to calculate a suggested exit point.

💰 Financial Health

Profitability

Gross Margin

68.3%

Operating Margin

5.3%

Net Margin

2.4%

EBITDA Margin

7.5%

Efficiency

ROE

1.6%

ROA

1.2%

ROIC

—

EPS

$0.18

Balance Sheet

Cash

$495.98M

Total Debt

$57.23M

Current Ratio

11.69

Debt/Equity

0.12

Conclusions

  • 🟢Gross margin — Gross margin: 68.3% — strong
  • 🔴Operating margin — Operating margin: 5.3% — weak
  • 🔴Net margin — Net margin: 2.4% — weak
  • 🔴Return on equity (ROE) — Return on equity (ROE): 1.6% — weak
  • 🔴Return on assets (ROA) — Return on assets (ROA): 1.2% — weak
  • 🟢Current ratio (liquidity) — Current ratio: 11.69
  • 🟢Debt-to-equity — Debt/equity: 0.12

🚀 Growth

Revenue

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Net Income

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Conclusions

  • 🟢Revenue growth (last year) — Revenue growth (last year): 100.0%
  • 🟢Earnings per share (EPS) growth — Earnings per share (EPS) growth: 103.4%
  • 🟢Free cash flow growth — Free cash flow growth: 133.6%
  • 🟢Net income growth — Net income growth: 117.9%

💎 Fair Value (Valuation)

Current Price

$91.65

Estimated Fair Value (DCF)

$39.55

Gap

-56.8%

🔴 Appears expensive relative to estimated value

Show all model (DCF) assumptions →

Year 1 Growth Rate

25.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

9.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Projection Years

5

YearGrowth RateProjected FCFPresent Value
125.0%$19.64M$18.02M
219.4%$23.45M$19.74M
313.8%$26.67M$20.60M
48.1%$28.84M$20.43M
52.5%$29.56M$19.21M

Base FCF (last actual year)

$15.71M

Terminal Value

$466.15M

Present Value of Terminal Value

$302.96M

Enterprise Value

$400.96M

Net Debt

$-438.75M

Equity Value

$839.71M

*The DCF model is an estimate based on assumptions — not a guaranteed forecast. You can change the assumptions to examine different scenarios.

Book Value per Share

$22.61

Tangible Book Value per Share (Tangible NAV)

$22.61

Conclusions

  • 🔴DCF Fair Value — Estimated fair value: $39.55 vs. price $91.65 (-56.8%)
  • 🟡Tangible Net Asset Value (NAV) — NAV per share: $22.61
  • 🔴P/E — P/E: 650.1

🕴️ Insider Trading

Real transactions by officers and insiders, as reported to the SEC on Form 4 — 0 purchases and 18 sales out of the last 25 filings.

NameTransaction TypeDateSharesChangePrice
Sakakibara Shan RikuOpen Market Sale31.7.2026200,000-4,000$140.21
Johnson Nancy JoAnnOpen Market Sale16.7.202618,966-2,133$126.98
Johnson Nancy JoAnnOpen Market Sale16.7.202613,407-5,559$127.89
Johnson Nancy JoAnnOpen Market Sale16.7.20267,806-5,601$128.96
Johnson Nancy JoAnnOpen Market Sale16.7.20266,900-906$129.78
ten Bosch John RoderickOpen Market Sale13.7.202632,135-1,417$125.46
ten Bosch John RoderickOpen Market Sale13.7.202630,718-1,417$125.46
ten Bosch John RoderickOpen Market Sale13.7.202629,301-1,417$125.46
Tsao DavidExercise of Derivative Securities13.7.202611,000+10,000$2.80
Tsao DavidExercise of Derivative Securities13.7.202621,000+10,000$2.80
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.202619,898-1,102$122.90
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.202617,421-2,477$123.84
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.202615,006-2,415$124.90
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.202611,821-3,185$125.85
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.202611,000-821$126.89
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.20269,862-1,138$122.84
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.20267,588-2,274$123.71
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.20265,863-1,725$124.65
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.20262,028-3,835$125.76
Tsao DavidOpen Market Sale13.7.20261,000-1,028$126.90
Tsao DavidExercise of Derivative Securities13.7.2026610,000-10,000$2.80
Tsao DavidExercise of Derivative Securities13.7.2026600,000-10,000$2.80
Sakakibara Shan RikuExercise of Derivative Securities9.7.2026208,174+174$8.65
Sakakibara Shan RikuExercise of Derivative Securities9.7.2026209,291+1,117$30.78
Sakakibara Shan RikuExercise of Derivative Securities9.7.2026210,646+1,355$30.78

📉 Short Interest

Official FINRA data — the number of shares open in short positions, plus daily short-sale activity.

Monthly Trend — Open Short Interest

→-0.7%

2,407,203 shares short as of 2026-07-15 · vs. 2,424,403 on 2026-06-30

Official biweekly report (FINRA Rule 4560) — no real higher-frequency data exists for this metric.

Weekly Trend — Daily Short-Sale Activity

↑+2.6%

40.7% of trading volume this week was short selling, vs. 39.7% the prior week

Based on daily short-sale volume (Reg SHO) — a different metric from the open short interest above: this is daily trading volume, not an open position, so it updates weekly rather than biweekly.

📰 News & Sentiment

Sentiment based on basic keywords (not AI) — 9 positive, 3 neutral, 3 negative out of the last 15 articles.